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Model picks & player props
Indiana Pacers
VS
Washington Wizards

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:09AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
Capital One Arena, Washington
Indoor
Sat 21 Feb 2026, 12:00AM
20
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Indiana Pacers 1.5 Spread -114

The model graded 24 markets for Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $188 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 21 Feb 2026, 12:00AM at Capital One Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win83.5%
The price says53.2%
Best price-114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Indiana Pacers 1.5 High83% chance -114
Spread High82% chance —
Spread High74% chance —
Moneyline High78% chance —
Spread High72% chance —
Spread High69% chance —
Spread High63% chance —
Team Total High93% chance —
Team Total High91% chance —
Pts + Rebs + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 72% —
Assists × 1 prop Highup to 76% —
Rebs + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 64% —
Steals × 1 prop Highup to 72% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Indiana Pacers
-2.5
-108
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Indiana PacersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut

Washington Wizards

  • Jamir Watkins GOut
  • Alex Sarr CDay-to-day
  • Anthony Davis FDay-to-day
  • Trae Young GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 30, 8:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ben Sheppard Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts
Aaron Nesmith Indiana Pacers Assists
Kyshawn George Washington Wizards Rebs + Asts
Andrew Nembhard Indiana Pacers Steals

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsIndiana Pacers @ Washington WizardsNo line posted

Washington Wizards and Indiana Pacers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadWashington Wizards spreadNo line posted

Washington Wizards (season record) meet Indiana Pacers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineWashington Wizards to winNo line posted

Washington Wizards (season record) host or visit Indiana Pacers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Washington Wizards totalNo line posted

Washington Wizards averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Washington Wizards; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards — what the model found

Our model graded 24 betting markets for Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards — 20 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 24 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 23 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards — recent results

Washington Wizards have won 0 of their last 5 games; Indiana Pacers have won 1 of their last 5.

Washington Wizards — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L117–130CLEAway
L117–140MIAHome
L108–119CHIHome
L98–129CHIHome
L115–121BKNAway
Indiana Pacers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L121–133DETHome
L94–105PHIHome
W123–94BKNAway
L104–124MINHome
L108–117CLEAway

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Washington Wizards won 2, Indiana Pacers won 0.

DateWashington WizardsIndiana PacersWinner
Feb 21131118Washington Wizards
Feb 20112105Washington Wizards

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Wizards
PlayerStatus
Jamir Watkins GOUT
Alex Sarr CDAY-TO-DAY
Anthony Davis FDAY-TO-DAY
Trae Young GDAY-TO-DAY
Indiana Pacers
PlayerStatus
Tyrese Haliburton GDAY-TO-DAY
Johnny Furphy GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards — model preview

Winning bets for Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Aaron Nesmith. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers stats and odds.

Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers) Under 2.5 Assists (-200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Aaron Nesmith's recent performance supports a bet for Under 2.5 assists in the upcoming game against the Washington Wizards. His average assists for the last five overall games is 1.2, which drops to just 0.4 when playing away. This trend is consistent even against the Wizards, with his average assists at 0.8 overall and 1.6 when playing at an away venue. Furthermore, Nesmith's expected stat value is only 1.14, significantly lower than the outcome point of 2.5. The data also shows a strong hit rate, with 13 out of the last 14 overall bets and all 11 of his last away bets hitting the under. This strong historical performance, coupled with his lower assist averages, indicates a good chance of Nesmith not surpassing 2.5 assists in the match.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
20 Feb 26 Team Total Under 126.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Pacers vs Wizards, or as Wizards vs Pacers. The most recent game between them was Saturday 21 February 2026 at Capital One Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Washington Wizards 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Feb 2026Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards131–118Washington Wizards
20 Feb 2026Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards112–105Washington Wizards
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