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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Nembhard is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On the 3-Pointers market the model assigns a model win probability of 62%, versus the book's implied 48%, for a model edge of +13.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Andrew Nembhard

Indiana Pacers

+13.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 +110 (2.10)
+13.9% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Wed 25 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
61.5%
Implied Probability
47.6%
Model Edge
+13.9%
Predicted Value
1.3 3-Pointers

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers61.5%—47.6%1.63+13.9%

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Nembhard (Indiana Pacers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers gear up to host the Los Angeles Lakers, all eyes should be on Andrew Nembhard's three-point performance. While he's had his moments, recent trends suggest he might struggle to hit the mark tonight. Over his last five games, Nembhard has averaged just 1.4 threes, and he's only managed to connect on 1.5 threes per game at home against the Lakers' defense.What's even more telling is his recent form against this opponent; he's only averaging one three-pointer in their last encounters. The Pacers might rely more on their stars, and with an expected stat value of just 1.33 for Nembhard, betting the under at 1.5 feels like a solid play. Considering the Lakers' defensive adjustments, it's hard to envision Nembhard breaking through for more than one tonight. Trust the numbers; this feels like a smart bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
2.2avg · last 10
L52.2Szn1.0Home0.9Away1.0Best5
1+61%
2+25%
3+7%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 2.2 · hi 5 · lo 0
1304350213

Andrew Nembhard is averaging 2.2 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.0, best 5). He clears 1+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
6.0avg · last 10
L57.2Szn5.1Home4.8Away5.5Best15
1+100%
3+87%
5+52%
7+31%
9+8%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 6 · hi 13 · lo 2
56526613476

Andrew Nembhard is averaging 6.0 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.1, best 15). He clears 5+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
18.0avg · last 10
L517.6Szn14.0Home13.6Away14.4Best39
4+95%
9+81%
14+48%
19+28%
24+4%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 18 · hi 23 · lo 7
2120723212320141021

Andrew Nembhard is averaging 18.0 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.0, best 39). He clears 14+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
9.4avg · last 10
L510.6Szn8.5Home8.2Away8.7Best21
2+99%
5+88%
8+56%
11+27%
14+8%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 9.4 · hi 20 · lo 5
9965126208109

Andrew Nembhard is averaging 9.4 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.5, best 21). He clears 8+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
1.4avg · last 10
L51.4Szn1.2Home1.3Away1.2Best4
1+72%
2+37%
3+13%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.4 · hi 3 · lo 0
2011302131

Andrew Nembhard is averaging 1.4 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.2, best 4). He clears 1+ in 72% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers 3-Pointers 1.5 Under +110 ✗ MISS
07 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 17.5 Under -127 ✗ MISS
25 Feb 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 18.5 Under -125 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Andrew Nembhard (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Nembhard is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers on Wednesday 25 March at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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