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The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Hartenstein is Over 14.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +23.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Isaiah Hartenstein

Oklahoma City Thunder

+23.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 14.5 -114 (1.88)
+23.9% Edge
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.1%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+23.9%
Predicted Value
19.6 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs77.1%—53.2%1.30+23.9%

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AI Analysis

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Isaiah Hartenstein (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Clippers gear up to face the Oklahoma City Thunder, keep a close eye on Isaiah Hartenstein's points and rebounds. With an expected stat value of 19.63, hitting the Over 14.5 seems not just plausible but likely. Hartenstein has been on a roll recently, averaging 9.6 boards and 7 points over his last five games. Sure, those numbers might appear modest, but against the Thunder, he's averaged 8.7 points and 7.3 rebounds in away matchups, both higher than his usual output.What's particularly compelling is his recent form: he's gone Over this line in three of his last four games and boasts a solid 2 out of 3 hit rate on the road. The Thunder may struggle to contain his size and versatility, making this matchup ripe for Hartenstein to exceed expectations. With the odds favoring this outcome, it's a smart play to back him in this pivotal game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
3.4avg · last 10
L53.0Szn3.7Home3.3Away4.1Best9
2+90%
4+54%
6+22%
8+1%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.4 · hi 5 · lo 1
4534315432

Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 3.4 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.7, best 9). He clears 4+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
10.3avg · last 10
L511.8Szn11.2Home10.9Away11.4Best24
1+100%
6+87%
11+57%
16+16%
21+3%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 10.3 · hi 15 · lo 5
8146511121410815

Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.2, best 24). He clears 11+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
13.7avg · last 10
L514.8Szn14.9Home14.2Away15.6Best27
5+100%
10+85%
15+51%
20+16%
25+3%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 13.7 · hi 19 · lo 9
121999141319141117

Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 13.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.9, best 27). He clears 15+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
20.1avg · last 10
L521.4Szn21.7Home20.1Away23.2Best36
12+94%
17+81%
22+57%
27+22%
32+3%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 20.1 · hi 23 · lo 10
23221610232122202222

Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 20.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 21.7, best 36). He clears 22+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
23.5avg · last 10
L524.4Szn25.4Home23.5Away27.4Best39
15+94%
20+82%
25+61%
30+25%
35+6%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 23.5 · hi 27 · lo 14
27271914262227242524

Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 23.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.4, best 39). He clears 25+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 15.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -152 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +252 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaiah Hartenstein (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Hartenstein is Over 14.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.9% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday 9 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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