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Model picks & player props
Oklahoma City Thunder
VS
Chicago Bulls

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:10PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
United Center, Chicago
Indoor
Wed 4 Mar 2026, 1:00AM
15
Game Picks
6
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Chicago Bulls 10.5 (Point Spread)
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls (NBA), model win probability 72.3%, fair odds 1.38, book price -115, model edge +18.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 4 Mar 2026, 1:00AM at United Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Chicago Bulls
10.5
+ 14 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago BullsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BullsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Aday Mara CDay-to-day
  • Bennett Stirtz GDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day

Chicago Bulls

  • Noa Essengue FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Wilson FDay-to-day
  • Dailyn Swain GDay-to-day
  • Zach Collins FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Smith FDay-to-day
  • Josh Giddey GDay-to-day
  • Nic Claxton CDay-to-day
  • Isaac Okoro FDay-to-day
  • Rob Dillingham GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 10:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Guerschon Yabusele Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Matas Buzelis Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Chet Holmgren Oklahoma City Thunder Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Chet Holmgren Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsOklahoma City Thunder @ Chicago BullsNo line posted

Chicago Bulls and Oklahoma City Thunder combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadChicago Bulls spreadNo line posted

Chicago Bulls (season record) meet Oklahoma City Thunder; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineChicago Bulls to winNo line posted

Chicago Bulls (season record) host or visit Oklahoma City Thunder; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Chicago Bulls totalNo line posted

Chicago Bulls averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Chicago Bulls; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Chicago Bulls — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Chicago Bulls playing Oklahoma City Thunder. Includes analysis on key players like Matas Buzelis. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder stats and odds.</p>

Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Chicago Bulls 10 (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

There's a compelling case to back the Chicago Bulls with a 10-point spread against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Bulls have managed to hold their home ground against stronger opposition, with a close-scoring average of 107.4 to 109.6 in their last five home games. The Thunder, on the other hand, haven't exactly been road warriors, only scraping a 2-3 away record and letting up an average of 116.6 points. This suggests their defense isn't as strong on the road, which could be a significant advantage for the Bulls. Additionally, despite the Bulls' rocky history against the Thunder, the 10-point handicap seems excessive considering the Thunder's recent away performance. The data seems to favor the Bulls covering the spread.

Matas Buzelis (Chicago Bulls) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Here's the situation, folks: Matas Buzelis and his Chicago Bulls are prepping for a dance with the Oklahoma City Thunder this Wednesday. Now, DraftKings has set Buzelis's total points, rebounds, and assists at a lofty 25.5. But the numbers? They're whispering a different tune.Despite a respectable home average of 15.6 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.6 assists, Buzelis has struggled to catch lightning against the Thunder. He's only managed a meager trio of points and a solitary rebound in his last five matchups. Assists? You're a ghost town, Matas.Even considering his overall performance, Buzelis has only hit the over on this total in 11 of his last 16 games. At home, sure, he's a little stronger, breaking the line 16 times out of 20. But against this opponent? I see little cause for

Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Oklahoma City Thunder win (-417)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a commanding edge in their impending showdown against the Chicago Bulls, and there's a wealth of evidence in the numbers to back this up. Firstly, the Thunder have had the Bulls' number in recent history, with the latter failing to register a win in their last two matchups. What's more, the Thunder's offensive potency outshines the Bulls, averaging 117.8 points over their last five games compared to the Bulls' 108.6. This trend continues even when we consider away games for the Thunder, where they've posted an impressive 117 points on average. The Thunder's capacity to light up the scoreboard, combined with their recent dominance over the Bulls, make them a compelling pick for the Moneyline market in this face-off. It seems the Bulls are in for a stormy evening against the Thunder.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Under 120.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Under 117.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Point Spread Chicago Bulls 10.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Point Spread Chicago Bulls 10 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Moneyline Oklahoma City Thunder ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 4 March 2026 at United Center. The model has generated 15 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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