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Chet Holmgren

Oklahoma City Thunder

+11.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 8.5 +106 (2.06)
+11.4% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
Model Probability
60.0%
Implied Probability
48.5%
Model Edge
+11.4%
Predicted Value
7.9 Rebounds

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Chet Holmgren (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Chet Holmgren, particularly regarding his rebounding numbers. While he's averaged a respectable 8.8 boards over his last five games, there's a pattern emerging when he plays at home. His average dips to just 7.6 rebounds in those outings, and against the Suns, it falls even further to 7.3. Holmgren's hit rate shows he's gone under the 8.5 mark in two of his last three home games, and with Phoenix's ability to stretch the floor, they may limit his opportunities for those crucial rebounds. Given his expected stat value of 7.89, the under seems like a promising angle. Coming into this game, Holmgren might find it tough to reach that 8.5 threshold, making the under a savvy play for those looking to capitalize on trends.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 20.0% (1/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 7.5 Under +112 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebounds 8.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 22.5 Over -120 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs Pending
25 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Chet Holmgren (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 20.0% (1/5). The latest model pick for Chet Holmgren is Under 8.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.4% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.