Chet Holmgren (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-417)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Thunder prepare to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Chet Holmgren, but I'm leaning towards him falling short of that 11.5 rebound mark. Sure, he's a promising talent, but his recent home performance tells a different story. Over his last five games at Paycom Center, Holmgren has averaged just 7.6 boards-a significant dip compared to that lofty number. Moreover, historically, he's faced the Suns with an average of only 7 rebounds at home, making it tough to envision him suddenly breaking through that barrier. With an overall hit rate of 90% in his last ten games hitting the under, and the numbers clearly tilting towards a more conservative performance, betting the under here seems like a wise move. With the Suns' efficient offensive style, Holmgren might find his opportunities limited. It's a smart play to expect him to stay below that 11.5 threshold this time around.