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Aaron Nesmith

Indiana Pacers

+15.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 15.5 -102 (1.98)
+15.2% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando
Mon 23 Mar, 11:00PM
Model Probability
65.7%
Implied Probability
50.5%
Model Edge
+15.2%
Predicted Value
18.3 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers) Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers head into Orlando, keep an eye on Aaron Nesmith to surpass that 15.5 points and rebounds mark. Over the last few games, he's shown a knack for stepping up on the road, averaging nearly 18 points away from home. The Magic's defense has its vulnerabilities, and Nesmith can exploit that, especially given his recent performance against Orlando, where he averaged over 12 points in their last few encounters. What's more, he has been pulling down an average of 3.6 rebounds against them, which, while modest, contributes significantly to his overall output. The numbers are in his favor, with an expected stat value of 18.29, hinting he's due for a breakout. With the Pacers in a tight race for playoff positioning, expect Nesmith to elevate his game when it counts. Bet on him going over 15.5 tonight; it's a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 100.0% (10/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs 15.5 Over -102 ✓ HIT
23 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 18.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
21 Feb 26 Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards Assists — — — Pending
20 Feb 26 Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
20 Feb 26 Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (10/10). The latest model pick for Aaron Nesmith is Over 15.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.2% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic on Monday 23 March at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.