Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NBA

Aaron Nesmith

Indiana Pacers

Value call
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits

Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers) has one live pick today: over 7.5 points that pays $143 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
14.1 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.7% · before adjusting for past results 92.6% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap -19.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 6:00 PM ET
Aaron Nesmith
over 7.5 points
Points Over 7.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.30 Odds-233
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Nesmith is Over 7.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 70%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 9:44AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points92.6%50.7%69.9%1.97+22.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers: Aaron Nesmith Over 7.5 Points (-233)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Aaron Nesmith has shown he can be a solid scorer lately, and the matchup against the Indiana Pacers is promising for him. The Pacers give up a lot of three-point shots, and they also allow a good number of rebounds. This could mean more chances for Nesmith to get open looks and put up points. While the odds are in his favor, there is a risk since both teams are pretty close in how they play. Still, if Nesmith gets the opportunity to shoot and capitalize on the Pacers' defensive weaknesses, he should be able to score over 7.5 points comfortably.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Aaron Nesmith — 2024-25 season averages

Over 55 games in the 2024-25 season, Aaron Nesmith averaged 12.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 25.8 minutes per game, shooting 50.9% from the field and 44.2% from three-point range.

12.5
PPG
4.4
RPG
1.3
APG
0.8
SPG
0.5
BPG
25.8
MPG
50.9%
FG%
44.2%
3P%

Aaron Nesmith — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Aaron Nesmith has played 29.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.0
MPG (L5)
14.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Aaron Nesmith — home vs away scoring

At home Aaron Nesmith averages 12.9 points per game; on the road, 12.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.9
PPG at home
12.1
PPG on the road

Aaron Nesmith — scoring by opponent

Aaron Nesmith scores most against the CLE, averaging 12.8 points per game in that matchup.

12.8
CLE
11.8
BOS
11.3
PHI
11.0
CHA
9.8
LAL
9.4
MIL

Aaron Nesmith — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Aaron Nesmith has averaged 14.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE3713132
11 Mayvs CLE231214
9 Mayvs CLE27771
6 May@ CLE332341
4 May@ CLE251780
29 Aprvs MIL4119123
27 Apr@ MIL251450
25 Apr@ MIL271873
22 Aprvs MIL311622
19 Aprvs MIL27760
Quick answers:How many assists does Aaron Nesmith average?How many points does Aaron Nesmith average?How many rebounds does Aaron Nesmith average?How many three-pointers does Aaron Nesmith average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets Points 7.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs 13.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT
23 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
23 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
17 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
19 Feb 26 Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards 3-Pointers — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Aaron Nesmith is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Aaron Nesmith is Over 7.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.6% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets on Sunday 25 October at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.