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Model picks & player props
Washington Wizards
VS
Miami Heat

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 7:14PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
Kaseya Center, Miami
Indoor
Tue 10 Mar 2026, 11:30PM
20
Game markets graded
6
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Miami Heat Moneyline -1000

The model graded 26 markets for Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $110 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 10 Mar 2026, 11:30PM at Kaseya Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win94.2%
The price says90.9%
Best price-1000
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Miami Heat High94% chance -1000
Rebounds × 2 props Highup to 93% —
Points × 1 prop Highup to 69% —
Pts + Rebs × 1 prop Highup to 69% —
Pts + Asts × 2 props Highup to 69% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Miami Heat
-1000
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 6 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,403+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Miami HeatMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Wizards

  • Jamir Watkins GOut
  • Alex Sarr CDay-to-day
  • Anthony Davis FDay-to-day
  • Trae Young GDay-to-day

Miami Heat

  • Bam Adebayo CDay-to-day
  • Trevor Keels GDay-to-day
  • Ryan Conwell GDay-to-day
  • Myron Gardner FDay-to-day
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 30, 8:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Alex Sarr Washington Wizards Rebounds
Bilal Coulibaly Washington Wizards Rebounds
Bam Adebayo Miami Heat Points
Bilal Coulibaly Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs
Davion Mitchell Miami Heat Pts + Asts

+ 6 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsWashington Wizards @ Miami HeatNo line posted

Miami Heat and Washington Wizards combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMiami Heat spreadNo line posted

Miami Heat (season record) meet Washington Wizards; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMiami Heat to winNo line posted

Miami Heat (season record) host or visit Washington Wizards; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Miami Heat totalNo line posted

Miami Heat averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Washington Wizards; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Washington Wizards totalNo line posted

Washington Wizards averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Miami Heat; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat — what the model found

Our model graded 26 betting markets for Washington Wizards at Miami Heat — 20 on the game itself and 6 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
6
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 26 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 25 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat — recent results

Miami Heat have won 2 of their last 5 games; Washington Wizards have won 0 of their last 5.

Miami Heat — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L126–127CHAAway
W143–117ATLHome
W140–117WSHAway
L114–128TORAway
L95–121TORAway
Washington Wizards — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L117–130CLEAway
L117–140MIAHome
L108–119CHIHome
L98–129CHIHome
L115–121BKNAway

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat — recent meetings

These two have met 4 times recently: Miami Heat won 4, Washington Wizards won 0.

DateMiami HeatWashington WizardsWinner
Apr 10140117Miami Heat
Apr 4152136Miami Heat
Mar 10150129Miami Heat
Feb 8132101Miami Heat

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Heat
PlayerStatus
Bam Adebayo CDAY-TO-DAY
Trevor Keels GDAY-TO-DAY
Ryan Conwell GDAY-TO-DAY
Myron Gardner FDAY-TO-DAY
Giannis Antetokounmpo FDAY-TO-DAY
Washington Wizards
PlayerStatus
Jamir Watkins GOUT
Alex Sarr CDAY-TO-DAY
Anthony Davis FDAY-TO-DAY
Trae Young GDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Miami Heat playing Washington Wizards. Includes analysis on key players like Kel'el Ware. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards stats and odds.

Kel'el Ware (Miami Heat) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-400)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Miami Heat face the Washington Wizards at home, all eyes will be on Kel'el Ware's rebounding performance. With a line set at 10.5, the smart money is leaning towards the under. Ware has been solid but not overwhelming on the boards, averaging just over 7 rebounds in recent outings. In fact, he's hit the under in four straight games and hasn't surpassed 10.5 at home in his last five appearances. The Wizards may struggle to generate consistent offensive rebounds, which means fewer opportunities for Ware to pad his stats. With the odds indicating an 80% chance of him finishing below that line, it's clear that the data paints a convincing picture. As the Heat look to control the glass, expect Ware to fall short of that double-digit mark-making the under a savvy play in this matchup.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Wizards vs Heat, or as Heat vs Wizards. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 10 March 2026 at Kaseya Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Miami Heat 4–0 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 264.3 points
DateGameScoreWinner
10 Apr 2026Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards117–140Miami Heat
4 Apr 2026Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat152–136Miami Heat
10 Mar 2026Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat150–129Miami Heat
8 Feb 2026Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards101–132Miami Heat
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