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NBA

Bam Adebayo

Miami Heat

+11.6% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Pts + Asts Under 26.5 -122 (1.82)
+11.6% Edge
Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat
Kaseya Center, Miami
Thu 12 Mar, 11:30PM
Model Probability
66.5%
Implied Probability
54.9%
Model Edge
+11.6%
Predicted Value
23.7 Pts + Asts

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat) Under 26.5 Points + Assists (-122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Miami Heat gear up to face the Milwaukee Bucks, all eyes will be on Bam Adebayo. However, betting on him to eclipse the 26.5 points and assists mark feels like a stretch. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 17 points and 4 assists-far below our target. Even at home, where he typically boosts those figures to 18.6 points and 4.6 assists, he's still shy of the line. Against the Bucks, Adebayo has managed only 19.6 points on average, and even less when playing in Miami. His recent form shows he's hit the under in three straight games and has a perfect home hit rate in the last four. With Milwaukee's defensive prowess looming, it's likely we see Bam struggle to reach that magic number. Bank on the under for what could be a tightly contested game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat Pts + Asts 26.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat Pts + Asts 26.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat Pts + Asts 26.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
10 Mar 26 Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Points Pending
28 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat Pts + Asts Pending
27 Feb 26 Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers 3-Pointers Pending

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