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NBA

Andrew Wiggins

Miami Heat

Value call

Andrew Wiggins (Miami Heat) has one live pick today: over 11.5 points that pays $186 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
16.0 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.2% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap +24.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 25 Mar, 7:30 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins
over 11.5 points
Points Over 11.5 -116 (1.86) · $100→$186
Value call
HIGHWins about 78 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.60 Odds-116
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Wiggins is Over 11.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 6:57AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points78.2%—53.8%1.28+24.4%

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Wiggins (Miami Heat) Over 11.5 Points (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Miami Heat gear up to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, keep a close eye on Andrew Wiggins, particularly his scoring potential. Wiggins has been on fire lately, averaging 12 points over his last five games, and even more impressive, he's hitting an average of 16.8 points when playing away. It's clear he thrives in road environments, and against the Cavaliers, he's managed to notch 14.4 points in their recent encounters. Let's not overlook his stellar performance in the last nine games-he's converted the Over 11.5 points in seven of those matchups. With Wiggins hitting the mark in all his last three away games, it feels like he's primed to continue that streak. Given his expected stat value of 16.01, betting on him to exceed 11.5 points seems not just reasonable, but a smart play as he looks to shine in Cleveland.

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Pick History & Track Record

Andrew Wiggins — 2024-25 season averages

Over 66 games in the 2024-25 season, Andrew Wiggins averaged 17.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.7 assists in 30.9 minutes per game, shooting 44.4% from the field and 37.3% from three-point range.

17.6
PPG
4.5
RPG
2.7
APG
1.0
SPG
0.9
BPG
30.9
MPG
44.4%
FG%
37.3%
3P%

Andrew Wiggins — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Andrew Wiggins has played 32.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.8
MPG (L5)
13.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Andrew Wiggins — points hit rate

Andrew Wiggins has scored over 20.5 points in 40% of 630 career games.

o11.586%
o12.582%
o15.567%
o20.540%
o25.516%

Andrew Wiggins — home vs away scoring

At home Andrew Wiggins averages 18.6 points per game; on the road, 16.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.6
PPG at home
16.4
PPG on the road

Andrew Wiggins — scoring by opponent

Andrew Wiggins scores most against the CHA, averaging 20.4 points per game in that matchup.

20.4
CHA
19.5
HOU
19.3
OKC
19.3
WSH
19.2
UTAH
19.0
POR

Andrew Wiggins — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Andrew Wiggins has averaged 13.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
28 Aprvs CLE221251
26 Aprvs CLE331013
23 Apr@ CLE281013
20 Apr@ CLE381462
18 Apr@ ATL432088
16 Apr@ CHI352093
11 Apr@ NO241053
9 Apr@ CHI271465
27 Marvs ATL331653
25 Marvs GS281055
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 11.5 Over -116 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
23 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat Points — — — Pending
23 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Wiggins (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Wiggins is Over 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.4% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 25 March at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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