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NBA

Andrew Wiggins

Miami Heat

Value call

Andrew Wiggins (Miami Heat) has one live pick today: under 9.5 points that pays $315 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
10.3 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.5% · the book's price implies 31.7% · gap +21.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Thu 5 Nov, 10:00 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins
under 9.5 points
Points Under 9.5 +215 (3.15) · $100→$315
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$31.50 Odds+215
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Wiggins is Under 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 32%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 13, 2:29PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$3,013 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points53.5%—31.7%1.87+21.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat: Andrew Wiggins Under 9.5 Points (+215)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Andrew Wiggins to score under 9.5 points are looking pretty good at +215. Our numbers suggest this bet is almost a toss-up, making it a solid option. The Golden State Warriors have been known to let opponents take a lot of three-point shots, but they also force a decent number of turnovers. This could mean fewer chances for Wiggins to get easy baskets if Miami's defense stays tight. There's a concrete risk here since both teams play at a fast pace, which can lead to more scoring opportunities. However, Wiggins has been inconsistent lately, and with the way Miami plays defense, he might struggle to hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Andrew Wiggins — 2024-25 season averages

Over 66 games in the 2024-25 season, Andrew Wiggins averaged 17.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.7 assists in 30.9 minutes per game, shooting 44.4% from the field and 37.3% from three-point range.

17.6
PPG
4.5
RPG
2.7
APG
1.0
SPG
0.9
BPG
30.9
MPG
44.4%
FG%
37.3%
3P%

Andrew Wiggins — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Andrew Wiggins has played 32.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.8
MPG (L5)
13.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Andrew Wiggins — points hit rate

Andrew Wiggins has scored over 20.5 points in 40% of 630 career games.

o11.586%
o12.582%
o15.567%
o20.540%
o25.516%

Andrew Wiggins — home vs away scoring

At home Andrew Wiggins averages 18.6 points per game; on the road, 16.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.6
PPG at home
16.4
PPG on the road

Andrew Wiggins — scoring by opponent

Andrew Wiggins scores most against the CHA, averaging 20.4 points per game in that matchup.

20.4
CHA
19.5
HOU
19.3
OKC
19.3
WSH
19.2
UTAH
19.0
POR

Andrew Wiggins — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Andrew Wiggins has averaged 13.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
28 Aprvs CLE221251
26 Aprvs CLE331013
23 Apr@ CLE281013
20 Apr@ CLE381462
18 Apr@ ATL432088
16 Apr@ CHI352093
11 Apr@ NO241053
9 Apr@ CHI271465
27 Marvs ATL331653
25 Marvs GS281055
Quick answers:How many assists does Andrew Wiggins average?How many points does Andrew Wiggins average?How many rebounds does Andrew Wiggins average?How many three-pointers does Andrew Wiggins average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Nov 26 Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors Points 9.5 Under +215 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 11.5 Over -116 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets Points — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Wiggins (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Wiggins is Under 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.8% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors on Thursday 5 November at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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