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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Wiggins is Over 12.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +21.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
NBA

Andrew Wiggins

Miami Heat

+21.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 12.5 -104 (1.96)
+21.7% Edge
Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 25 Mar, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.8%
Implied Probability
51.0%
Model Edge
+21.7%
Predicted Value
16.0 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.8%—51.0%1.37+21.7%

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Wiggins (Miami Heat) Over 12.5 Points (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Miami Heat visit the Cleveland Cavaliers, all eyes should be on Andrew Wiggins to make an impact on the scoreboard. Hitting the Over on 12.5 points seems like a savvy move given his recent form. Wiggins has averaged nearly 17 points in his last five away games, showcasing his ability to step up on the road. What's even more compelling is his history against the Heat; he's posted an average of 14.4 points in their last few encounters. Despite being away, he's been in a groove, hitting the Over in all three of his most recent road outings. With a solid 70% success rate over his last 20 games, Wiggins is clearly in a rhythm. Expect him to not just meet, but exceed this number as he rises to the occasion against a defense that can be vulnerable.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
3.6avg · last 10
L53.4Szn2.7Home2.8Away2.6Best11
1+91%
3+55%
5+15%
7+2%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.6 · hi 8 · lo 1
5353382331

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 3.6 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.7, best 11). He clears 3+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
1.1avg · last 10
L51.0Szn0.9Home1.0Away0.7Best5
1+59%
2+21%
3+6%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.1 · hi 3 · lo 0
3001200320

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 1.1 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 5). He clears 1+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
13.6avg · last 10
L513.2Szn17.6Home18.6Away16.4Best42
8+94%
13+73%
18+52%
23+24%
28+9%
Game log vs O 17.5avg 13.6 · hi 20 · lo 10
10161410202014101012

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 13.6 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.6, best 42). He clears 18+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
18.7avg · last 10
L517.4Szn22.2Home23.2Away20.9Best50
12+88%
17+73%
22+53%
27+27%
32+15%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 18.7 · hi 29 · lo 11
15212015292820111117

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.2, best 50). He clears 22+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
22.3avg · last 10
L520.8Szn24.9Home25.9Away23.5Best54
15+86%
20+74%
25+50%
30+30%
35+12%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 22.3 · hi 36 · lo 14
20242518323622141418

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 22.3 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.9, best 54). He clears 25+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
5.1avg · last 10
L54.2Szn4.5Home4.6Away4.4Best16
1+98%
3+77%
5+44%
7+21%
9+8%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 5.1 · hi 9 · lo 1
5565986115

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 5.1 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.5, best 16). He clears 5+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
0.9avg · last 10
L50.2Szn1.0Home0.9Away1.0Best5
1+62%
2+23%
3+8%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.9 · hi 2 · lo 0
2112201000

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 0.9 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.0, best 5). He clears 1+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 12.5 Over -104 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 17.5 Over -120 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -130 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points — — — Pending
23 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
23 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Wiggins (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Wiggins is Over 12.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 25 March at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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