Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
MLB
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Indoor
Mon 29 Jun 2026, 7:07 PM ET
New York Mets
VS
Toronto Blue Jays

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 22 markets for New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays and backs Over 9.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $232.

20
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 9.5 total runs
Over 9.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$23.20Best price+132
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.4%
The price says43.1%

The model graded 22 markets for New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $232 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 29 Jun 2026, 7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 Lean54% chance +132
Total Runs Members only High63% chance Members
Spread Members only High64% chance Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 74% Members
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 88% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays last met on Mon 29 Jun 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 2 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 70,470+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Dylan Cease SPOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Rudy Martin Jr. RFOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut
Availability updated Oct 1, 5:19PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Sean Manaea Pitcher - Strikeouts
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Batter - Hits

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToronto Blue JaysNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs New York Mets L53-2

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs New York Mets L53-2

Toronto Blue Jays spread form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs New York MetsNo line posted

Toronto Blue Jays total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
3.8runs we expect
L5 RF4.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs New York Mets L53-2

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays — what the model found

Our model graded 22 betting markets for New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays — 20 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 22 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 21 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent results

Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5 games; New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5.

Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–1CINHome
L1–5CINHome
W6–5CINHome
L2–4BALAway
L2–4BALAway
New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 3.0 runs per game (2-3) while New York Mets are at 4.0 (1-4); Toronto Blue Jays pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 3.6 for New York Mets.

3.0
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
4.0
New York Mets runs/G
Last 5 gamesToronto Blue JaysNew York Mets
Runs / game3.04.0
Hits / game5.25.0
Home runs / game1.20.4
Walks drawn / game1.21.8
Batter K / game4.83.0
Earned runs allowed / game2.23.6
Pitching K / game2.85.2
Walks allowed / game2.62.0
L5 record2-31-4

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Toronto Blue Jays won 2, New York Mets won 3.

DateToronto Blue JaysNew York MetsWinner
Jul 193Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 3003New York Mets
Jun 2921Toronto Blue Jays
Mar 1518New York Mets
Feb 2334New York Mets

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Dylan Cease SPOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Rudy Martin Jr. RFOUT
Cody Ponce SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT
New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets stats and odds.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets : Over 8.5 Total Runs (-109)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Blue Jays welcome the Mets to Rogers Centre, we’re looking at a scenario ripe for runs. Toronto’s offense has been explosive, averaging over five runs per game lately, thanks to their deep lineup featuring powerful hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette. Meanwhile, the Mets have shown flashes of offensive prowess, particularly against right-handers, making them a serious threat in this matchup. On the mound, both teams have sketched a shaky narrative recently. The Blue Jays’ starter has struggled with command, while the Mets' pitcher has been prone to giving up big innings. With the weather favoring a warm, humid evening—conditions that typically boost offensive production—expect fireworks. The model projects a total of nearly ten runs, aligning with the trend of high-scoring games involving both squads. This game has the makings of a slugfest, making the 'Over 8.5' a compelling play.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mets vs Jays, or as Jays vs Mets. The most recent game between them was Monday 29 June 2026 at Rogers Centre. The model has generated 20 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays head-to-head record

Final scores · 14 meetings on record
New York Mets 8–6 across the last 14 meetings · these games average 6.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 1 Jul 2026, New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays: the Blue Jays won 9-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
1 Jul 2026New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays9–3Toronto Blue Jays
30 Jun 2026New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays0–3New York Mets
29 Jun 2026New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays2–1Toronto Blue Jays
15 Mar 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Mets8–1New York Mets
23 Feb 2026New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays3–4New York Mets
6 Apr 2025Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Mets2–1New York Mets
5 Apr 2025Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Mets3–2New York Mets
4 Apr 2025Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Mets5–0New York Mets
11 Sep 2024New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays2–6New York Mets
10 Sep 2024New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays6–2Toronto Blue Jays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 14 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.