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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Graham Pauley is Over 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On Batter - RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 18 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 18%, the price says 21%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Rlanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 25, 4:47PM UTC
MLB

Graham Pauley

MLB

Value call

Graham Pauley has one live pick today: Batter - RBIs Over 0.5 that pays $475 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Over 0.5 +375 (4.75) · $100→$475
Value call
Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Wed 23 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 110 of 185 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
18 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Batter - RBIs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 17.8% · before adjusting for past results 38.4% · the book's price implies 21.1% · gap -3.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs38.4%17.8%21.1%4.63+17.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Graham Pauley Over 0.5 RBIs (+375)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Graham Pauley Over 0.5 RBIs (+375). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at +375 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $47.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Graham Pauley is averaging 1.2 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.2
Hits
0.0
HR
0.4
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Graham Pauley has gone over 1.5 total bases in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.550%
o2.530%
o3.530%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Graham Pauley is averaging 1.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in away games, including his recent form against PHI.

1.2
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Away
1.7
Hits · vs PHI
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.3
HR · vs PHI
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -476 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -476 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -270 ✓ HIT
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Singles — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Graham Pauley is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Graham Pauley is Over 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.4% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs on Wednesday 23 September at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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