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Graham Pauley

MLB

Value call

Graham Pauley has one live pick today: over 1.5 singles that pays $1,320 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
12 in 100
Predicted
0.5 singles
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 11.6% · before adjusting for past results 8.7% · the book's price implies 7.6% · gap +4.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Graham Pauley
over 1.5 singles
Batter - Singles Over 1.5 +1220 (13.20) · $100→$1,320
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 12 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$132.00 Odds+1220
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Graham Pauley is Over 1.5 on Batter - Singles.
On Batter - Singles, our numbers say this bet wins about 12 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 12%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 9:35AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 144 of 248 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Singles8.7%11.6%7.6%8.62+1.1%

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AI Analysis

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Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves: Graham Pauley Over 1.5 Batter - Singles (+1220)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Graham Pauley has been struggling lately, averaging zero hits in his last three games. However, he's facing the Atlanta Braves, who have not been great at stopping runs, allowing about five runs for every nine innings pitched. This could be a good chance for Pauley to break out of his slump, especially since the Braves have won three straight on the road and are looking to keep their momentum. Playing at loanDepot Park, home runs don't happen often, which means singles could become more valuable. The Marlins' home field tends to keep balls in the yard, so Pauley might find it easier to get on base with singles instead of hitting for power. While there's a real chance he might not come through, the odds are interesting enough to consider.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - RBIs 0.5 Over +375 ✗ MISS
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -167 ✗ MISS
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Under -133 ✗ MISS
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Walks — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Singles — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Graham Pauley is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Graham Pauley is Over 1.5 on Batter - Singles. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins on Sunday 27 September at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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