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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Miami Marlins

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Oct 2, 8:28PM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins and backs Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $290.

MLB
loanDepot Park, Miami
Indoor
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:40PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
52.5%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 Spread +190

The model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $290 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:40PM at loanDepot Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win34.1%
The price says32.3%
Best price+190
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 Long-shot34% chance +190
Spread Members only Lean46% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean47% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean59% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only High87% chance Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Highup to 85% Members
Pitcher - Outs × 2 props Highup to 87% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 3 props Highup to 93% Members
Batter - Walks × 5 props Highup to 64% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 76% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Leanup to 42% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Leanup to 46% Members
Batter - RBIs × 1 prop Long-shotup to 39% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Dodgers and Miami Marlins last met on Sun 13 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Kyle Tucker Over 4.5 · $100 returned $800

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 131 of 230 right (mlb pitcher outs unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 30
Payton Tolle Under 17.5
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $181
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers
-6.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tarik Skubal SP

Miami Marlins

  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Tyler Zuber RPOut
  • Jakob Marsee CFOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • Pete Fairbanks RPOut
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Owen Caissie RFOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut
Availability updated Oct 3, 8:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Eury Perez Pitcher - Strikeouts
Eury Perez Pitcher - Outs
Jakob Marsee MIA Batter - Strikeouts
Emmet Sheehan LAD Pitcher - Strikeouts
Kyle Stowers MIA Batter - Walks

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami MarlinsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L51-4Free board21-19

Miami Marlins moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Run LineMiami Marlins run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L51-4

Miami Marlins spread form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

Miami Marlins total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMiami Marlins team totalNo line posted
3.1runs we expect
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L51-4

Miami Marlins team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins — recent results

Miami Marlins have won 3 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 3 of their last 5.

Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3ATLHome
L3–8ATLHome
W3–0ATLHome
L1–2CHCAway
W3–2CHCAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–1SFAway
W2–0SFAway
W4–3SFAway
L2–4SDHome
L1–5SDHome

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Miami Marlins are scoring 7.0 runs per game (1-4) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 7.2 (5-0); Miami Marlins pitchers are allowing 7.6 earned runs per game versus 2.6 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

7.0
Miami Marlins runs/G
7.2
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesMiami MarlinsLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game7.07.2
Hits / game11.48.4
Home runs / game1.01.6
Walks drawn / game3.05.2
Batter K / game8.88.0
Earned runs allowed / game7.62.6
Pitching K / game7.011.4
Walks allowed / game5.02.8
L5 record1-45-0

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Miami Marlins won 4, Los Angeles Dodgers won 2.

DateMiami MarlinsLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Sep 1364Miami Marlins
Sep 1243Miami Marlins
Sep 1126Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 2921Miami Marlins
Apr 2932Miami Marlins
Apr 2845Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Tyler Zuber RPOUT
Jakob Marsee CFOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
Pete Fairbanks RPOUT
Max Meyer SPOUT
Owen Caissie RFOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Eric Lauer SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Ben Casparius RPOUT
Brusdar Graterol RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins — model preview

Our Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins prediction for September 14, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 14, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jakob Marsee (MIA) Under 0.5 Singles (-182), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Dodgers -0.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 3.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 9 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Marlins, or as Marlins vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 September 2026 at loanDepot Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 52.5% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 15–8 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 11.2 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Sep 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins6–4Miami Marlins
12 Sep 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins4–3Miami Marlins
11 Sep 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins2–6Los Angeles Dodgers
29 Apr 2026Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers1–2Miami Marlins
28 Apr 2026Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–4Los Angeles Dodgers
27 Apr 2026Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–4Los Angeles Dodgers
7 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins1–10Los Angeles Dodgers
6 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins5–4Miami Marlins
5 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins4–7Los Angeles Dodgers
30 Apr 2025Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers12–7Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

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