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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sandy Alcantara is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Sandy Alcantara

MIA

+1.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1667 (1.06)
+1.1% Edge
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Fri 26 Sep, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
95.4%
Implied Probability
94.3%
Model Edge
+1.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed95.4%—94.3%1.05+1.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Sandy Alcantara (MIA) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Sandy Alcantara for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is supported by his recent performance data. Alcantara's average hits allowed in the last five games overall and against the Mets specifically are both above the line set for this bet, at 4.6 and 5.2 respectively. His home game statistics also point towards this outcome, with an average of 5 hits allowed in his last five home games. Moreover, Alcantara is currently on a 3-game streak of allowing over 2.5 hits, which extends to 23 games when considering home matches. This consistent trend of conceding more than 2.5 hits, combined with his averages against the Mets and in home games, makes this bet a data-driven choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2085%
O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.540%
O 5.540%
O 6.530%
O 7.510%

Sandy Alcantara MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak3L2095%
O 2.590%
O 3.580%
O 4.570%
O 5.550%
O 6.540%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Sandy Alcantara MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak2L2080%
O 0.580%
O 1.570%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%

Sandy Alcantara MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
3.2avg earned runs · L5
Streak2L2050%

Sandy Alcantara MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 3.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
15.2avg outs · L5
L2065%

Sandy Alcantara MLB outs: cleared over 17.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 15.2 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sandy Alcantara (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sandy Alcantara is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Miami Marlins on Friday 26 September at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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