Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sandy Alcantara is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +23.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 9:10PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-154 (1.65) · $100→$165
+23.7% Edge
Los Angeles Angels
@
Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
60.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 84.3% | — | 60.6% | 1.19 | +23.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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Sandy Alcantara (MIA) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Miami Marlins play Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Sandy Alcantara (MIA) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-154). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.540%
O 5.540%
O 6.530%
O 7.510%
Sandy Alcantara MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 2.590%
O 3.580%
O 4.570%
O 5.550%
O 6.540%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%
Sandy Alcantara MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.580%
O 1.570%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%
Sandy Alcantara MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted 60%hit L10
3.2avg earned runs · L5
Streak2L2050%
Sandy Alcantara MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 3.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Sandy Alcantara MLB outs: cleared over 17.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 15.2 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Sandy Alcantara (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sandy Alcantara is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins on Sunday 9 August at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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