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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
PHI
For the numbers: the book's price implies 61.7%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Arizona Diamondbacks play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Nola (PHI) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-161). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Aaron Nola is averaging 6.8 hits, 1.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Aaron Nola has gone over 2.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Aaron Nola is averaging 6.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 6.0 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.
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Aaron Nola (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Nola is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday 1 September at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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