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Xavier Edwards

MIA

+13.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -625 (1.16)
+13.5% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta
Tue 4 Aug, 11:15PM
Model Probability
99.7%
Implied Probability
86.2%
Model Edge
+13.5%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Xavier Edwards (MIA) Under 1.5 Walks (-625)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Braves host the Miami Marlins, all eyes will be on Xavier Edwards and his ability to draw walks. However, considering his recent performance, placing a wager on him to go under 1.5 walks seems prudent. Edwards has struggled to find consistent plate discipline lately, posting a mere 5% walk rate over his last 50 plate appearances. The Braves' pitching staff, particularly their starters, has been exceptional at limiting free passes, sitting among the league's best in walk rate allowed. When you factor in the Marlins' tendency to swing aggressively against right-handed pitchers, it’s hard to envision Edwards getting on base via the walk route. Given these dynamics, the under appears to be a savvy play, especially with the implied probability suggesting a high likelihood of hitting this mark. As the game unfolds, expect Edwards to face challenges in earning those free passes.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -152 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits 0.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Xavier Edwards (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Xavier Edwards is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.5% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves on Tuesday 4 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.