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The latest Bet Better model pick for Taylor Ward is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +8.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Taylor Ward

LAA

+8.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -164 (1.61)
+8.9% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Wed 8 Jul, 10:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.0%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+8.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases71.0%—62.1%1.41+8.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Taylor Ward (LAA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Orioles host the Cubs on Wednesday night, all eyes will be on Taylor Ward, who faces an uphill battle against a resurgent Baltimore pitching staff. In recent games, the Orioles’ arms have been on fire, boasting a strikeout rate that ranks among the best in the league. With Ward’s recent struggles at the plate—especially against right-handed pitching—one has to wonder if he can find his rhythm against a pitcher like Kyle Gibson, who has been adept at limiting hard contact. Ward's average of just over 1 total base per game reflects his inconsistency, especially against strong bullpens. The Cubs' offense has also been cooling off, making it less likely for Ward to see favorable pitches to drive. Given the circumstances and the current trends, taking the under on 1.5 total bases for Ward feels like a savvy play as he might struggle to find his footing against this formidable Orioles squad.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2055%
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

Taylor Ward MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.520%

Taylor Ward MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2060%
O 0.550%
O 1.520%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Taylor Ward MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Taylor Ward MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Taylor Ward MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%

Taylor Ward MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Taylor Ward MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Jul 26 Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits 2.5 Under -476 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - RBIs 1.5 Under -1667 ✗ MISS
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Singles — — — Pending
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
21 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Taylor Ward (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Taylor Ward is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday 8 July at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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