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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Detroit Tigers

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 22, 3:10PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
Wed 24 Jun 2026, 10:40PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New York Yankees -2.5 Spread +320

The model graded 20 markets for New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $420 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 24 Jun 2026, 10:40PM at Comerica Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win45.4%
The price says23.8%
Best price+320
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Yankees -2.5 Lean45% chance +320
Spread Lean55% chance
Moneyline High65% chance
Spread Long-shot36% chance
Spread Long-shot28% chance
Spread High80% chance
Spread Long-shot20% chance
Spread High86% chance
Spread High90% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
New York Yankees -1.5 · $100 returned $300

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 867 of 1,730 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 22
Under 7.5
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $216
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Yankees
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 55,404+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Ryan McMahon 3BOut
  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Probable pitcher

Cam Schlittler SP

Detroit Tigers

  • Brant Hurter RPOut
  • James Outman CFOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Riley Greene LFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Troy Melton SP
Availability updated Aug 22, 12:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDetroit TigersNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L55-0Free board8-8

Detroit Tigers moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineDetroit Tigers run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L55-0

Detroit Tigers spread form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Detroit Tigers total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
1.7runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L55-0

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers — recent results

Detroit Tigers have won 1 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 5 of their last 5.

Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–5KCAway
L3–4PITAway
L1–4PITAway
W8–5PITAway
L5–7CHWHome
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1TORHome
W6–1BALAway
W5–3BALAway
W3–1BALAway
W4–3TORAway

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.0 runs per game (5-0) while New York Yankees are at 2.8 (3-2); Detroit Tigers pitchers are allowing 1.6 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for New York Yankees.

4.0
Detroit Tigers runs/G
2.8
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesDetroit TigersNew York Yankees
Runs / game4.02.8
Hits / game5.26.0
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game2.41.6
Batter K / game3.84.0
Earned runs allowed / game1.60.8
Pitching K / game4.45.0
Walks allowed / game1.01.4
L5 record5-03-2

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Detroit Tigers won 6, New York Yankees won 4.

DateDetroit TigersNew York YankeesWinner
Jul 162Detroit Tigers
Jun 3093Detroit Tigers
Jun 2973Detroit Tigers
Jun 2424New York Yankees
Jun 2334New York Yankees
Jun 2253Detroit Tigers
Mar 2131Detroit Tigers
Mar 15121Detroit Tigers
Mar 1234New York Yankees
Feb 21320New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Brant Hurter RPOUT
James Outman CFOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Riley Greene LFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Max Fried SPOUT
Ryan McMahon 3BOUT
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees stats and odds.

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees +2.5 (-333)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
24 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees +1.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees +2.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees -1.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Moneyline New York Yankees ✓ HIT
23 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
23 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 24 June 2026 at Comerica Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 8 meetings
Detroit Tigers 6–2 across the last 8 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
1 Jul 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees2–6Detroit Tigers
30 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees3–9Detroit Tigers
29 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees3–7Detroit Tigers
24 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers2–4New York Yankees
23 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers3–4New York Yankees
22 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers5–3Detroit Tigers
21 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers3–1Detroit Tigers
15 Mar 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees1–12Detroit Tigers
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