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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Detroit Tigers

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 2, 1:09PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
Wed 24 Jun 2026, 10:40PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Yankees (Moneyline)
For New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers (MLB), model win probability 65.1%, fair odds 1.54, book price +120, model edge +19.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 24 Jun 2026, 10:40PM at Comerica Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
New York Yankees
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Max Fried SP

Detroit Tigers

  • Jackson Jobe SPOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Brant Hurter RPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Framber Valdez SP
Availability updated Aug 2, 1:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDetroit TigersNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA1.6Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L54-1Free board6-4

Detroit Tigers moneyline form: last five 4-1, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineDetroit Tigers run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA1.6Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L54-1

Detroit Tigers spread form: last five 4-1, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Detroit Tigers total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
3.2runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA1.6Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L54-1

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.4 runs/gm.

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.0 runs per game (5-0) while New York Yankees are at 2.8 (3-2); Detroit Tigers pitchers are allowing 1.6 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for New York Yankees.

4.0
Detroit Tigers runs/G
2.8
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesDetroit TigersNew York Yankees
Runs / game4.02.8
Hits / game5.26.0
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game2.41.6
Batter K / game3.84.0
Earned runs allowed / game1.60.8
Pitching K / game4.45.0
Walks allowed / game1.01.4
L5 record5-03-2

New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees stats and odds.</p>

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees +2.5 (-333)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
6
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
24 Jun 26 Moneyline New York Yankees ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees +2.5 ✗ MISS
24 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees +3.5 ✗ MISS
24 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees +4.5 ✗ MISS
24 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees -3.5 ✗ MISS
24 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees -5.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 24 June 2026 at Comerica Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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