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Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Wed 1 Jul 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Detroit Tigers
VS
New York Yankees

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees and backs Over 9.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $315.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 9.5 total runs
Over 9.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$31.50Best price+215
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.7%
The price says31.7%

The model graded 20 markets for Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $315 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 1 Jul 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 Lean51% chance +215
Total Runs Members only Lean55% chance Members
Spread Members only High72% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees last met on Wed 1 Jul 2026: Detroit Tigers won 6-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Tigers

  • Reese Olson SPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Jake Miller SPDay-to-day
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut

New York Yankees

  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
Availability updated Oct 9, 6:24PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L52-3

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L52-3

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Detroit TigersNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
5.2runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L52-3

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Detroit Tigers have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4PITHome
W4–3PITHome
W8–7PITHome
L2–4WSHHome
L1–3WSHHome

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.4 runs per game (0-5) while Detroit Tigers are at 7.0 (5-0); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 4.2 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Detroit Tigers.

1.4
New York Yankees runs/G
7.0
Detroit Tigers runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesDetroit Tigers
Runs / game1.47.0
Hits / game2.27.0
Home runs / game0.42.0
Walks drawn / game1.22.2
Batter K / game5.43.6
Earned runs allowed / game4.21.2
Pitching K / game3.24.2
Walks allowed / game1.21.0
L5 record0-55-0

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: New York Yankees won 4, Detroit Tigers won 6.

DateNew York YankeesDetroit TigersWinner
Jul 126Detroit Tigers
Jun 3039Detroit Tigers
Jun 2937Detroit Tigers
Jun 2442New York Yankees
Jun 2343New York Yankees
Jun 2235Detroit Tigers
Mar 2113Detroit Tigers
Mar 15112Detroit Tigers
Mar 1243New York Yankees
Feb 21203New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Reese Olson SPOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Burch Smith RPOUT
Parker Meadows CFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Bailey Horn RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees — model preview

Winning baseball bets for New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers stats and odds.

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers : Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-164)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees face off against the Tigers this Wednesday, there's a compelling narrative brewing around Detroit's chances. The Tigers have quietly gained momentum, showcasing a lineup that's been hitting well in recent weeks, evidenced by their impressive .275 team batting average over the last month. Meanwhile, the Yankees, despite their historic prowess, have stumbled against left-handed pitching, and with Detroit likely sending a strong southpaw to the mound, that weakness could be exploited. Defensively, the Tigers have tightened their grip, allowing just 3.8 runs per game in their last ten matchups. With both teams jockeying for playoff positioning, the urgency could tilt this game in Detroit's favor. The run line at +1.5 feels generous, especially as the Tigers look to capitalize on a Yankees squad that has shown vulnerabilities lately. This isn’t just about numbers; it’s about timing, and the Tigers seem poised to keep it close or even pull off an upset.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Tigers. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 1 July 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 42 meetings on record
Even at 21–21 across the last 42 meetings · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 1 Jul 2026, Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees: the Tigers won 6-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
1 Jul 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees2–6Detroit Tigers
30 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees3–9Detroit Tigers
29 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees3–7Detroit Tigers
24 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers2–4New York Yankees
23 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers3–4New York Yankees
22 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers5–3Detroit Tigers
21 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers3–1Detroit Tigers
15 Mar 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees1–12Detroit Tigers
12 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers3–4New York Yankees
21 Feb 2026Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees20–3New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 42 meetings on file.

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