On September 1, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 6 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Paul Skenes (PIT) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-147), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Paul Skenes (PIT) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Paul Skenes (PIT) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-147). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Drake Baldwin Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Washington Nationals play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Drake Baldwin Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Randy Vasquez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-137)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Randy Vasquez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-137). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -137 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Matthew Boyd (CLE) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matthew Boyd (CLE) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-116). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.62 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Freddy Peralta (TBR) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Freddy Peralta (TBR) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+114). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tommy Edman (LAD) Under 0.5 Singles (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tommy Edman (LAD) Under 0.5 Singles (-101). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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