On August 9, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 5 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Troy Melton Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-164), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Randy Dobnak Under 2.5 Strikeouts (+122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Kansas City Royals play Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Randy Dobnak Under 2.5 Strikeouts (+122). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chicago White Sox play Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-133). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -133 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.52 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Hunter Goodman (COL) Under 0.5 Singles (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Hunter Goodman (COL) Under 0.5 Singles (-156). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Troy Melton Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Francisco Giants play Detroit Tigers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Troy Melton Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-164). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cade Povich Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Texas Rangers play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cade Povich Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+108). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Michael Lorenzen (CIN) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael Lorenzen (CIN) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-161). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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