On August 7, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 3 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-204), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-179). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.59 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-103). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ketel Marte (ARI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ketel Marte (ARI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-154). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-159). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-204)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-204). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bobby Witt Jr. Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Kansas City Royals play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bobby Witt Jr. Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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