On August 4, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 4 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Christian Walker (HOU) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-119), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Shane Bieber (CLE) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shane Bieber (CLE) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+105). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Christian Walker (HOU) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Christian Walker (HOU) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-119). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Evan Carter (TEX) Under 0.5 Hits (+136)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Texas Rangers play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Evan Carter (TEX) Under 0.5 Hits (+136). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +136 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Michael McGreevy Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael McGreevy Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-108). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shane Bieber (CLE) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shane Bieber (CLE) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+139). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at +139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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