On August 4, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 5 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Matthew Boyd (DET) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-137), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Michael King Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael King Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-123). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.13 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Matthew Boyd (DET) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-137)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matthew Boyd (DET) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-137). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -137 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shane Bieber (CLE) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shane Bieber (CLE) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+139). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at +139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jung Hoo Lee (SFG) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Texas Rangers play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jung Hoo Lee (SFG) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-116). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.62 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tommy Edman (STL) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tommy Edman (STL) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-114). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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