On August 28, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 5 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Dylan Cease (TOR) Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-233), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.
The props we like today
Shane McClanahan Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Rays play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shane McClanahan Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-120). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Manny Machado (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Rays play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Manny Machado (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dylan Cease (TOR) Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-233)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Toronto Blue Jays play Seattle Mariners in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Dylan Cease (TOR) Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-233). That is a Outs Recorded bet. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Luis Arraez (MIN) Under 0.5 Singles (+125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Angels play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Arraez (MIN) Under 0.5 Singles (+125). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at +125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Matt Olson (ATL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Atlanta Braves play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matt Olson (ATL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits (-130). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
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