On August 28, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 3 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-159), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.
The props we like today
Ildemaro Vargas (PIT) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-143)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
San Francisco Giants play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ildemaro Vargas (PIT) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-143). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Hayden Wesneski (CHC) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+100)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Hayden Wesneski (CHC) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+100). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Christopher Morel (CHC) Under 0.5 Hits (-141). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.09 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Hayden Wesneski (CHC) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-118)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Hayden Wesneski (CHC) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-118). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-159)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-159). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-159)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
New York Mets play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-159). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article