MLB player props today: our 6 best prop picks for August 25, 2026

As the Mets take on the Brewers, all eyes will be on Kyle Harrison, whose recent outings suggest he might struggle to reach 15.5 outs. The young lefty has shown flashes of potential, but he’s also faced challenges, particularly against lineups that excel at making contact. The Brewers, with their potent offensive weapons, have been known to grind out at-bats, making it tough for pitchers to rack up outs. Moreover, Harrison's average outing has only seen him complete about 5.5 innings lately, which translates to fewer than 17 outs. With Milwaukee's hitters showing a knack for patience at the plate, it’s likely they’ll capitalize on any mistakes. Given all these factors, betting the under on Harrison's outs recorded seems prudent, especially with the numbers hinting at a significant edge in favor of the under. Expect a tough battle for Harrison, keeping him under that 15.5 mark.

Clay Holmes (NYY) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135)

As the Diamondbacks host the Cubs, all eyes will be on Clay Holmes, the New York reliever stepping onto the mound. While the strikeout line is set at 3.5, recent trends suggest going under might be the smart play. Holmes has shown a dip in his strikeout rate, averaging under two strikeouts per game in his last handful of outings. The Cubs possess a patient lineup that can make life tough for even the most skilled pitchers, showcasing a high contact rate and an ability to chase fewer pitches outside the zone. With the current implied probability leaning towards the under, and given Holmes' recent struggles against teams with similar batting profiles, it’s hard to envision him racking up those four strikeouts today. In a game where the lineup’s discipline plays a critical role, betting on the under seems to be the most prudent course of action.

Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+132)

As the Blue Jays prepare to host the Royals, all eyes should be on Vinnie Pasquantino as a key player to watch. With the Royals struggling to find consistency on the mound, Pasquantino's recent form spells trouble for opposing pitchers. He’s been hitting with authority, showcasing a keen eye and a powerful swing that has resulted in a solid upward trend in his scoring. Looking at the matchup, the Blue Jays’ potent lineup has a way of creating scoring opportunities, often leading to high-scoring affairs. Meanwhile, the Royals’ pitching has been shaky, with a tendency to give up runs, particularly against left-handed batters like Pasquantino. His ability to capitalize on these vulnerabilities makes the 'Over 0.5' runs scored a tantalizing prospect. Given the current trajectory of both teams, it's hard to imagine him not crossing home at least once in this matchup, making this an enticing opportunity for savvy bettors.

Austin Riley Under 0.5 Hits (-123)

As the Atlanta Braves gear up to face the Los Angeles Dodgers, all eyes will be on Austin Riley, who might have a tougher night at the plate than usual. Lately, he's been experiencing a downward trend, struggling against left-handed pitchers, boasting a disappointing.220 average in that scenario. With Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound, who thrives in high-pressure situations and has held right-handed batters to a mere.200 average this season, it's a daunting matchup for Riley. Moreover, the Braves’ lineup has been known to get a bit stagnant against elite pitching, and Kershaw's ability to locate his fastball effectively could further suppress Riley's chances of getting a hit. With the model predicting under 0.5 hits and a solid edge backing this, taking the under on Riley feels like a smart play as the Braves look to navigate this challenging confrontation.

Michael Harris II (ATL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-192)

As the Atlanta Braves gear up to face the Los Angeles Dodgers, all eyes will be on Michael Harris II, but betting on him to exceed 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. Harris has shown flashes of brilliance this season, yet lately, he’s been more of a streaky contributor than a consistent powerhouse. The Dodgers' pitching staff, especially with their lefty-heavy rotation, could stymie his production; they've held opposing batters to a low average and have excelled in limiting extra-base hits. Moreover, Harris is facing an upward battle against a lineup that’s been highly effective in neutralizing young talent. With the Braves’ offense potentially focusing on other sluggers, you could see Harris struggling to connect in crucial moments. Given the model's projection of just 0.47 total bases, it seems wise to take the under here—especially against a tough Dodgers squad that knows how to pitch to weaknesses.

Shohei Ohtani (LAA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-119)

As the Dodgers roll into Atlanta, all eyes are on Shohei Ohtani, who’s been a force at the plate. However, facing a Braves pitching staff that boasts a robust 3.70 ERA at home and has limited opponents to just a.230 batting average this season could spell trouble for him. The Braves' left-handed pitchers have given righties like Ohtani fits lately, holding them to a mere.240 average over the last month. Moreover, Ohtani’s recent performance shows a dip in his slugging numbers against top-tier pitching; he’s averaged just 0.86 total bases in his last five games against teams with solid bullpens like Atlanta. With the Braves' stellar defense backing their pitchers, the under on Ohtani’s total bases looks promising. Expect a tightly contested game where Ohtani may find it tough to break through, making the ‘Under 1.5’ a tempting play.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.