On August 17, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 2 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Hits (-233), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.
The props we like today
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Total Bases (-118)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Minnesota Twins play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Total Bases (-118). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Minnesota Twins play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-179). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.59 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Hits (-233)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Minnesota Twins play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Hits (-233). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Rays play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Total Bases (-159). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Minnesota Twins play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Total Bases (-127). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.87 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Austin Martin Under 1.5 Total Bases (-204)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Minnesota Twins play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Austin Martin Under 1.5 Total Bases (-204). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
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