On August 17, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 5 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Walks (-172), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Walks (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Walks (-154). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

William Contreras (MIL) Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+144)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is William Contreras (MIL) Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+144). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +144 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Walks (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Walks (-172). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Connor Wong Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Connor Wong Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+122). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bryce Elder (ATL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Elder (ATL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-123). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.13 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Zach McKinstry (DET) Under 0.5 Singles (-137)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Zach McKinstry (DET) Under 0.5 Singles (-137). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -137 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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