On August 16, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 5 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Jake Irvin (WSN) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-159), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Bryce Elder (ATL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Elder (ATL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-123). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.13 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jake Irvin (WSN) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

New York Mets play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jake Irvin (WSN) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-159). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ezequiel Duran (TEX) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Athletics play Texas Rangers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ezequiel Duran (TEX) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-133). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -133 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.52 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonah Heim (ATH) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Athletics play Texas Rangers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jonah Heim (ATH) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+101). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+116). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Trent Grisham (SDP) Under 0.5 Walks (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Toronto Blue Jays play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Trent Grisham (SDP) Under 0.5 Walks (-132). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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