On August 16, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 4 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-172), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Logan Henderson Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Logan Henderson Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-154). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bryce Elder (ATL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Elder (ATL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-123). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.13 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+116). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Noah Cameron Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Noah Cameron Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-114). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gabriel Hughes Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+117)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Francisco Giants play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Gabriel Hughes Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+117). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +117 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-172). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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