Fremantle Dockers vs Essendon Bombers : Essendon Bombers 23.5 (-111)

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The bet on Essendon Bombers +23.5 is supported by their recent away performance. Despite a lower average points scored, they have limited opponents to 81.2 points in their last five games. Fremantle Dockers, while solid at home with an average margin of 13.2, score fewer points than Essendon's defensive capability allows. Essendon's ability to restrict opponents' scoring coupled with Fremantle's lower points for average compared to their home games suggests a closer match than the spread indicates. Additionally, Essendon's recent form, though not stellar, shows promise in keeping the game tight enough to cover the spread.

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