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AFL

Luke Jackson

Fremantle

+3.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -200 (1.50)
+3.4% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sat 28 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
70.1%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+3.4%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

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Luke Jackson (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Goals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a reliable footy bet, Luke Jackson stands out as a prime candidate for a goal in the upcoming clash at Optus Stadium. Over his last five home games, Jackson has been a consistent threat in front of the big sticks, averaging 1 goal per game. His impressive goal accuracy of 66.7% in these matches showcases his precision when shooting for goal. Additionally, his involvement in the attacking plays is evident through his average of 5.6 score involvements per game, indicating he is a key contributor to Fremantle's forward movements. Facing Richmond, a team he has historically performed well against, with an average of 0.7 goals in their recent encounters, Jackson's track record positions him as a strong contender to snag at least one goal in this matchup. With a current hit streak of 2 at home and 5 overall, Jackson's form is on fire, making him a compelling pick to surpass the 0.5 goal line set by the bookies.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 14.5 Over -154 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Luke Jackson (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Luke Jackson is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 28 March at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.