On Sunday 2 August 2026, Essendon Bombers play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Will Setterfield (Essendon) Over 14.5 Disposals, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Will Setterfield (Essendon) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Essendon's clash with Adelaide, all eyes are on Will Setterfield. The dynamic midfielder has been a commanding force at Marvel Stadium, averaging a solid 21.6 disposals in his last five home games. With a keen eye for the contest, Setterfield's 7.2 contested possessions per game show his hunger in the thick of the action. Add in his impressive disposal efficiency of 67.6%, and you have a player who not only finds the ball but uses it effectively. Facing the Crows, against whom he averages 16 disposals, Setterfield is poised to shine. With a streak of 22 games hitting the mark at home, and an overall hit rate of 95% in his last 20, backing him to surpass 14.5 disposals is a smart move. Trust Setterfield to lead the charge and rack up the possessions on home turf.

Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 21.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to picking a player prop bet, Archie Roberts is our man for the Essendon Bombers in their clash against the Adelaide Crows at Marvel Stadium. Roberts has been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 29.6 disposals over his last five home games. His kicking game has been on point too, averaging 20.8 kicks per game in that span. With a solid disposal efficiency of 77.9%, Roberts knows how to make his possessions count. Against the Crows, he has historically done even better, averaging 19 disposals in their recent matchups. Given his current form and the matchup dynamics, backing Roberts to surpass 21.5 disposals seems like a smart play. It's not just a hunch; it's backed by the numbers.

Mason Redman (Essendon) Over 12.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a solid bet for the Essendon Bombers clash against the Adelaide Crows, Mason Redman stands out as a prime candidate to shine on the field. Redman has been a force to reckon with, boasting an impressive average of 16.8 disposals over his last five home games. His ability to find space and rack up kicks, averaging 12.8 per game at Marvel Stadium, makes him a key playmaker for the Bombers. With a consistent disposal efficiency of 87.0% and a knack for gaining crucial meters, Redman is in prime form to surpass the 12.5 disposals line set by the bookies. His recent performances, combined with his stellar hit rates and streaks, make him a reliable choice to back for this player prop bet. Expect Redman to step up and deliver a standout performance on his home turf.

That is how our model reads Essendon Bombers v Adelaide Crows. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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