On Saturday 1 August 2026, Essendon Bombers play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 20.5 Disposals, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 20.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking ahead to the clash between Essendon and Adelaide, all signs point to Archie Roberts shining bright on the field with his disposal game. Roberts has been a force to be reckoned with in his last five home games, averaging a stellar 29.6 disposals. Plus, his recent performances against Adelaide have seen him maintain an average of 19 disposals, which is close to the line of 20.5. With a solid contested possessions average of 6 and an impressive disposal efficiency of 77.9%, Roberts is set to dominate the midfield battles. Not to mention his knack for intercepts and metres gained, showcasing his all-around impact. Riding a hot streak and boasting a consistent hit rate, Roberts seems primed to surpass the 20.5 disposal mark comfortably in this upcoming home game at Marvel Stadium.
Will Setterfield (Essendon) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want a bloke who's not just reliable, but consistently impactful. Enter Will Setterfield. This lad has been tearing up the turf lately, averaging a tidy 21.6 disposals in his last five home games, comfortably clearing the 14.5 line. What's more, his disposal efficiency sits at a respectable 67.6%, ensuring those possessions count. Facing off against the Adelaide Crows, whom he's recently averaged 16 disposals against, Setterfield is in prime position to feast on the ball. With his recent form and an impressive 88.5% implied probability to surpass 14.5 disposals, it's hard to go past backing Setterfield to rack up the touches at Marvel Stadium. Settle in, folks, for a Setterfield masterclass in ball-winning prowess.
Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 21.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Archie Roberts, the midfield maestro for Essendon, is poised to dominate this upcoming clash against the Adelaide Crows at Marvel Stadium. In his last five home games, Archie has been an absolute ball magnet, averaging a whopping 29.6 disposals. His precision is on point too, boasting a solid 77.9% disposal efficiency. Facing off against Adelaide, he's been even more prolific, notching an average of 19 disposals in their recent encounters. With the line set conservatively at 21.5 disposals, Archie's recent form and matchup history suggest he's primed to surpass that mark comfortably. Expect him to drive the Bombers forward, dictating play and racking up possessions to deliver on the Over.
That is how our model reads Essendon Bombers v Adelaide Crows. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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