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Model picks & player props
MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:40 PM ET
Houston Astros
VS
Detroit Tigers

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers and backs Detroit Tigers -1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $320.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Detroit Tigers
to win by 2+ runs
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$32.00Best price+220
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.6%
The price says31.3%

The model graded 20 markets for Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $320 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:40 PM ET at Comerica Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Detroit Tigers -1.5 High71% chance +220
Spread Members only High62% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High84% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean56% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers last met on Sun 28 Jun 2026: Houston Astros won 7-5. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Detroit Tigers
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut
  • Joey Loperfido LFOut

Detroit Tigers

  • Jake Miller SPOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
Availability updated Nov 3, 6:43PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDetroit TigersNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L52-3

Detroit Tigers moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Run LineDetroit Tigers run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L52-3

Detroit Tigers spread form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

Detroit Tigers total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
4.0runs we expect
L5 RF4.2L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L52-3

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers — recent results

Detroit Tigers have won 2 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5.

Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4PITHome
W4–3PITHome
W8–7PITHome
L2–4WSHHome
L1–3WSHHome
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7CHWHome
L3–6CHWHome
W13–2ATHAway
W9–0ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.0 runs per game (3-2) while Houston Astros are at 4.4 (4-1); Detroit Tigers pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 3.4 for Houston Astros.

4.0
Detroit Tigers runs/G
4.4
Houston Astros runs/G
Last 5 gamesDetroit TigersHouston Astros
Runs / game4.04.4
Hits / game5.45.0
Home runs / game1.00.8
Walks drawn / game2.20.8
Batter K / game5.01.4
Earned runs allowed / game1.83.4
Pitching K / game3.64.0
Walks allowed / game0.42.4
L5 record3-24-1

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Detroit Tigers won 2, Houston Astros won 5.

DateDetroit TigersHouston AstrosWinner
Jun 2857Houston Astros
Jun 2768Houston Astros
Jun 2680Detroit Tigers
Jun 2512Houston Astros
Jun 1724Houston Astros
Jun 1724Houston Astros
Jun 1693Detroit Tigers

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Jake Miller SPOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Trey Sweeney SSOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Reese Olson SPOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
Joey Loperfido LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros stats and odds.

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros : Over 6.5 Total Runs (-233)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Astros. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 June 2026 at Comerica Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 28 Jun 2026Houston Astros beat Detroit Tigers 7-5 on the road
  • 27 Jun 2026Houston Astros beat Detroit Tigers 8-6 on the road
  • 26 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers beat Houston Astros 8-0 at home

Houston Astros: last 5 results

  1. 30 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-7
  2. 29 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-6
  3. 27 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 9-0
  4. 26 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 13-2
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Athletics 5-6

Detroit Tigers: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Lostvs Pittsburgh Pirates 2-4
  2. 26 Sep 2026Wonvs Pittsburgh Pirates 4-3
  3. 25 Sep 2026Wonvs Pittsburgh Pirates 8-7
  4. 23 Sep 2026Lostvs Washington Nationals 2-4
  5. 22 Sep 2026Lostvs Washington Nationals 1-3

Quick answers

Who won the last Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros game? Houston Astros won their last meeting 7-5 on 28 June 2026.

How have Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers done lately? Houston Astros won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Detroit Tigers won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers: the season so far

From every final score this season

Houston Astros are 81-83 this season and Detroit Tigers are 76-86. Detroit Tigers are 42-39 at home. Houston Astros are 42-39 on the road. Detroit Tigers score 4.5 runs a game and let in 4.0. Houston Astros score 4.5 and let in 4.8. Detroit Tigers games have averaged 8.5 runs in total; Houston Astros games have averaged 9.3.

SeasonHouston AstrosDetroit Tigers
Won-lost81-8376-86
At home39-4442-39
On the road42-3934-47
Last 104-64-6
Runs scored a game4.54.5
Runs let in a game4.84.0
Runs scored at home4.24.4
Runs scored away4.84.5
Against winning sides29-2829-43
Current runLost 2Lost 1
Biggest win13-2 at Athletics14-0 vs Baltimore Orioles
Heaviest loss18-3 vs Los Angeles Angels15-2 at Minnesota Twins

Teams they have both played

  • Against Pittsburgh Pirates: Detroit Tigers lost 2-4 at home; Houston Astros lost 1-5 at home.
  • Against Washington Nationals: Detroit Tigers lost 2-4 at home; Houston Astros lost 2-8 on the road.
  • Against Chicago White Sox: Detroit Tigers lost 1-8 on the road; Houston Astros lost 3-7 at home.

Quick answers

How are Detroit Tigers doing this season? Detroit Tigers are 76-86 this season: 42-39 at home and 34-47 on the road.

How many runs do Houston Astros score a game? Houston Astros score 4.5 runs a game this season and let in 4.8, across 164 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers head-to-head record

Final scores · 29 meetings on record
Detroit Tigers 15–14 across the last 29 meetings · these games average 9.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 28 Jun 2026, Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers: the Astros won 7-5.

DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers5–7Houston Astros
27 Jun 2026Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers6–8Houston Astros
26 Jun 2026Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers8–0Detroit Tigers
25 Jun 2026Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers1–2Houston Astros
17 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros4–2Houston Astros
16 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros4–2Houston Astros
15 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros3–9Detroit Tigers
20 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers7–2Detroit Tigers
19 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers1–0Detroit Tigers
18 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers10–0Detroit Tigers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 29 meetings on file.

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