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Model picks & player props
MLB
Chase Field, Phoenix
Indoor
Wed 26 Aug 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
VS
Arizona Diamondbacks

Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks and backs Chicago Cubs -3 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $418.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Chicago Cubs
to win by more than 3 runs
Chicago Cubs -3 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$41.80Best price+318
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win23.6%
The price says25.8%

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $418 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 26 Aug 2026, 3:41 PM ET at Chase Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Chicago Cubs -3 Long-shot24% chance +318
Spread Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean49% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot25% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean46% chance Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 85% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 77% Members
Batter - Walks × 10 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 8 props Highup to 76% Members
Batter - Hits × 6 props Highup to 84% Members
Batter - Singles × 8 props Highup to 72% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 8 props Highup to 62% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Highup to 69% Members
Batter - RBIs × 3 props Highup to 79% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks last met on Wed 26 Aug 2026: Arizona Diamondbacks won 5-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Chicago Cubs
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 75,033+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Corbin Carroll RFOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
Availability updated Nov 10, 7:08PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Clay Holmes NYY Pitcher - Strikeouts
Matthew Boyd CLE Pitcher - Walks
Ryan Waldschmidt Batter - Walks
Nico Hoerner Batter - Walks
Miguel Amaya Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineArizona DiamondbacksNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks spread form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted
6.3runs we expect
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent results

Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5.

Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L7–10SDAway
L4–9SDAway
W11–4SDAway
W5–3COLAway
W12–8COLAway
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4SDAway
L0–8SDAway
W6–2BOSAway
L0–2BOSAway
L3–4BOSAway

Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 1.8 runs per game (1-4) while Chicago Cubs are at 2.8 (2-3); Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers are allowing 2.8 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Chicago Cubs.

1.8
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
2.8
Chicago Cubs runs/G
Last 5 gamesArizona DiamondbacksChicago Cubs
Runs / game1.82.8
Hits / game4.03.0
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game0.80.8
Batter K / game1.41.4
Earned runs allowed / game2.81.2
Pitching K / game2.81.6
Walks allowed / game1.40.4
L5 record1-42-3

Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Arizona Diamondbacks won 3, Chicago Cubs won 5.

DateArizona DiamondbacksChicago CubsWinner
Aug 2654Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 2620Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 2507Chicago Cubs
May 348Chicago Cubs
May 202Chicago Cubs
May 156Chicago Cubs
Mar 18168Arizona Diamondbacks
Mar 518Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Corbin Carroll RFOUT
Cristian Mena RPOUT
Andrew Saalfrank RPOUT
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Ben Brown RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Cade Horton SPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Porter Hodge RPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Shelby Miller RPOUT
Tyler Austin 1BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks — model preview

Our Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for August 27, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 27, 2026 our model has run Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 RBIs (-370), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Diamondbacks, or as Diamondbacks vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 26 August 2026 at Chase Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 26 Aug 2026Arizona Diamondbacks beat Chicago Cubs 2-0 at home
  • 25 Aug 2026Arizona Diamondbacks beat Chicago Cubs 5-4 at home
  • 24 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs beat Arizona Diamondbacks 7-0 on the road

Chicago Cubs: last 5 results

  1. 30 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 1-4
  2. 29 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 0-8
  3. 27 Sep 2026Wonat Boston Red Sox 6-2
  4. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Boston Red Sox 0-2
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Boston Red Sox 3-4

Arizona Diamondbacks: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 4-9
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 7-10
  3. 25 Sep 2026Wonat San Diego Padres 11-4
  4. 24 Sep 2026Wonat Colorado Rockies 12-8
  5. 23 Sep 2026Wonat Colorado Rockies 5-3

Quick answers

Who won the last Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs game? Arizona Diamondbacks won their last meeting 2-0 on 26 August 2026.

How have Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks done lately? Chicago Cubs won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold. Arizona Diamondbacks won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks: the season so far

From every final score this season

Chicago Cubs are 89-75 this season and Arizona Diamondbacks are 86-76. Arizona Diamondbacks are 45-36 at home. Chicago Cubs are 43-40 on the road. Arizona Diamondbacks score 4.6 runs a game and let in 4.5. Chicago Cubs score 5.2 and let in 4.4. Arizona Diamondbacks games have averaged 9.1 runs in total; Chicago Cubs games have averaged 9.5.

SeasonChicago CubsArizona Diamondbacks
Won-lost89-7586-76
At home46-3545-36
On the road43-4041-40
Last 104-66-4
Runs scored a game5.24.6
Runs let in a game4.44.5
Runs scored at home5.24.6
Runs scored away5.14.5
Against winning sides41-3633-39
Current runLost 2Lost 2
Biggest win23-3 vs San Diego Padres15-5 vs Athletics
Heaviest loss17-1 vs St. Louis Cardinals17-2 vs Atlanta Braves

Teams they have both played

  • Against San Diego Padres: Arizona Diamondbacks lost 4-9 on the road; Chicago Cubs lost 1-4 on the road.
  • Against Colorado Rockies: Arizona Diamondbacks won 12-8 on the road; Chicago Cubs won 8-6 at home.
  • Against New York Yankees: Arizona Diamondbacks won 8-4 at home; Chicago Cubs lost 1-2 at home.

Quick answers

How are Arizona Diamondbacks doing this season? Arizona Diamondbacks are 86-76 this season: 45-36 at home and 41-40 on the road.

How many runs do Chicago Cubs score a game? Chicago Cubs score 5.2 runs a game this season and let in 4.4, across 164 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks head-to-head record

Final scores · 34 meetings on record
Arizona Diamondbacks 18–16 across the last 34 meetings · these games average 9.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 26 Aug 2026, Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks: the Diamondbacks won 5-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
26 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–4Arizona Diamondbacks
25 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks0–7Chicago Cubs
24 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks0–7Chicago Cubs
3 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs8–4Chicago Cubs
2 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs2–0Chicago Cubs
1 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs6–5Chicago Cubs
18 Mar 2026Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks16–8Arizona Diamondbacks
5 Mar 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs8–1Chicago Cubs
20 Apr 2025Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs2–3Arizona Diamondbacks
19 Apr 2025Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs6–2Chicago Cubs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 34 meetings on file.

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