Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Cubs prepare to host the Twins, Nico Hoerner’s recent form raises some eyebrows. While he boasts a solid batting average, his performances at the plate have been inconsistent, particularly against right-handed pitching—something the Twins will present with their ace on the mound. Over the last few weeks, Hoerner has struggled to find gaps, averaging just under 0.8 total bases per game, which aligns closely with our expectations for today’s matchup.
The Twins, known for their sharp pitching, have limited opposing hitters, especially in their last few series. Given that Hoerner tends to be a contact hitter rather than a power threat, the odds of him achieving more than 1.5 total bases against this formidable lineup are slim. With the wind swirling at Wrigley and the Twins' recent ability to stifle offensive production, taking the under on Hoerner’s total bases feels like a savvy play today.