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AFL

Bailey Humphrey

Gold Coast SUNS

+0.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -625 (1.16)
+0.3% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Sat 18 Apr, 3:15AM
Model Probability
86.5%
Implied Probability
86.2%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

AI Analysis

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Bailey Humphrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-625)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Humphrey is firing on all cylinders at home for the Gold Coast Suns. Averaging an impressive 2.4 goals in his last five home games, he's a genuine scoring threat. His accuracy, with a 67.0% goal conversion rate, is elite, and he's been getting involved in the play consistently with 6.4 score involvements per game. Facing Essendon, against whom he's netted 1 goal on average in his last five encounters, Humphrey seems poised to capitalize. With his recent form and penchant for finding the big sticks, backing him to snag at least one goal in this matchup might just be the smart play. Humphrey's ability to impact the scoreboard makes the Over 0.5 goals prop bet a tantalizing prospect with a high likelihood of hitting.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Bailey Humphrey (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Bailey Humphrey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 18 April at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.