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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bailey Humphrey is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 62%, implied 61%, edge +12.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 1:02PM UTC
AFL

Bailey Humphrey

Gold Coast SUNS

+12.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+12.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 22°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.4% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +12.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals73.4%62.2%61.3%1.61+12.0%

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AI Analysis

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Bailey Humphrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-159)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Humphrey is primed to snag a goal in the upcoming clash against the GWS Giants. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games, Bailey boasts a solid goal-scoring record, especially against this opponent where he's been consistent with 1 goal per game. His recent form is impressive, hitting the back of the net in 4 out of his last 6 away games. Bailey's knack for getting involved in the play is evident, averaging 4 score involvements and 1.2 marks inside 50 in his last 5 games. With a sharp eye for goal at a 50% accuracy rate, Bailey is a reliable choice to split the middle and secure that crucial goal. Bet confidently on Bailey Humphrey to go over 0.5 goals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Bailey Humphrey averaged 10.4 disposals, 0.7 goals and 1.9 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

10.4
Disposals
0.7
Goals
1.9
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Bailey Humphrey recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond10030
17 Aug 24Melbourne8033
10 Aug 24Essendon9121
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles10005
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions17035
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS13133
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide12252
6 Jul 24North Melbourne6000
29 Jun 24Collingwood6020
23 Jun 24Fremantle4014
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Bailey Humphrey (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bailey Humphrey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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