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AFL

Christian Petracca

Melbourne

+9.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 24.5 -108 (1.93)
+9.6% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Fri 6 Mar, 9:05AM
Model Probability
61.4%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+9.6%
Predicted Value
23.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Christian Petracca (Melbourne) Under 24.5 Disposals (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Christian Petracca's recent away form, it's evident he's been a pivotal midfield force for Geelong. While he's been racking up an impressive 24.6 disposals on average over his last five away games, facing Gold Coast could throw a spanner in the works. The Suns have been a tough nut to crack, especially in the disposal battle, limiting opposition midfielders to an average of 27 disposals over the last five games. Petracca may find it challenging to hit his usual numbers, particularly with Gold Coast's pressure and structured defense. With a line set at 24.5 disposals, the data suggests Petracca might fall just short in this matchup, making the under a tantalizing prospect for punters looking to capitalize on his potential dip in production.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 86.0% (43/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 24.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending

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