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AFL

Lachie Weller

Gold Coast SUNS

+2.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -588 (1.17)
+2.7% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Sat 18 Apr, 3:15AM
Model Probability
88.2%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+2.7%
Predicted Value
16.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Lachie Weller (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 10.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to solid midfield performers, look no further than Lachie Weller for the Gold Coast Suns. The stats paint a clear picture of a player in fine form. With an average of 17.8 disposals in his last 5 home games and a stellar disposal efficiency of 82.9%, Weller knows how to find the footy and use it effectively. Facing Essendon, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 26 disposals in their last 5 matchups, the stage is set for Weller to shine. Add in his recent hot streak, hitting his disposal over in 8 out of the last 9 home games, and you have a player worth backing to surpass the 10.5 disposal line comfortably. Trust in Weller to deliver when it matters most on his home turf at People First Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 90.0% (9/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Sydney Swans Disposals 11.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Sydney Swans Disposals 12.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Lachie Weller (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 90.0% (9/10). The latest model pick for Lachie Weller is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 18 April at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.