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AFL

Lachie Weller

Gold Coast SUNS

+0.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -200 (1.50)
+0.8% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
67.5%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+0.8%
Predicted Value
16.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Lachie Weller (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Lachie Weller is a strong bet for Over 14.5 disposals against Brisbane. Despite facing a slightly tougher opponent, Weller's recent form shows consistency. With a solid average of 15.6 disposals in his last five away games and hitting 18 disposals on average overall, he has been a reliable contributor. Weller's recent performance, including a 77.1% disposal efficiency and an average of 2.2 intercepts, indicates his involvement in the game. His current hit streak of 4 and a hit rate of 4/4 further support his ability to surpass the 14.5 mark. The model's prediction of 16.8 disposals with a small margin of error adds confidence to this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 85.0% (17/20)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -200 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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