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AFL

Murphy Reid

Fremantle

+6.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -213 (1.47)
+6.6% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sun 19 Apr, 7:10AM
Model Probability
74.6%
Implied Probability
68.0%
Model Edge
+6.6%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

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Murphy Reid (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Goals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing an AFL player prop bet, Murphy Reid is our man for the job. Despite a recent average of 0.8 goals per game, his hunger to snag a goal is evident in his 5.8 score involvements and 2.4 shots at goal per game in his last five away matches. Facing off against the West Coast Eagles, who he's previously scored against, Reid's goal accuracy of 23.3% might just be the edge we need. With the odds in our favor and Reid's current form suggesting he's due for at least one goal, betting on him to score over 0.5 goals is a smart play in this upcoming clash at Optus Stadium. Let's ride the wave of Reid's attacking prowess and bank on him to split the middle and bag at least one major.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -196 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Murphy Reid (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Murphy Reid is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 19 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.