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AFL

Murphy Reid

Fremantle

+14.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -154 (1.65)
+14.0% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Sat 14 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
74.6%
Implied Probability
60.6%
Model Edge
+14.0%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

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Murphy Reid (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Goals (-154)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Murphy Reid is on a tear lately, bagging an average of 1 goal per game in his last five away matches. With a sharpshooting accuracy of 35% and an average of 2.4 shots at goal per game, he's been a constant threat in the forward line. Reid's ability to impact the scoreboard is evident in his 5.2 score involvements and 0.8 marks inside 50 per game. Facing Geelong, a team he averages 4 goals against in his last five matchups, Reid is primed to capitalize on his current form. With a stellar hit rate and a streak of 6 consecutive games with goals, Reid is poised to split the middle and snag a goal to help secure the Over 0.5 bet in the Cats vs. Dockers clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 78.0% (39/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending

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