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AFL

Tim Kelly

West Coast Eagles

Value call

Tim Kelly (West Coast Eagles) has one live pick today: over 21.5 disposals that pays $170 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
24.3 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.6% · the book's price implies 58.8% · gap +12.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 24 Jul, 8:10 PM AEST
Tim Kelly
over 21.5 disposals
Disposals Over 21.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.00 Odds-143
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tim Kelly is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 9, 11:29AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.6%—58.8%1.40+12.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tim Kelly (West Coast Eagles) Over 21.5 Disposals (-143)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tim Kelly is set to make waves when the West Coast Eagles clash with the Fremantle Dockers at Optus Stadium. Over his last five away games, Kelly has been a midfield maestro, averaging 22.4 disposals, including a stellar 24.5 against Fremantle. With a knack for finding the footy, his contested possessions and ability to cover ground with 394.4 meters gained per game make him a key player to watch. Despite a slight uptick in turnovers recently, Kelly's current form and historical stats suggest he's primed to surpass the 21.5 disposal line set by the bookies. Back Kelly to steer the Eagles to victory and rack up the possessions in the process.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Tim Kelly averaged 23.9 disposals, 0.2 goals and 2.8 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

23.9
Disposals
0.2
Goals
2.8
Marks
4.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Geelong Cats), Tim Kelly recorded 25 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Geelong Cats25033
18 Aug 24Carlton24054
10 Aug 24North Melbourne19019
2 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS31031
27 Jul 24Fremantle32106
20 Jul 24St Kilda24054
14 Jul 24Brisbane Lions29123
7 Jul 24Melbourne23034
30 Jun 24Hawthorn15017
26 May 24Adelaide Crows23035
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 21.5 Over -143 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 20.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 19.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tim Kelly (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tim Kelly is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 24 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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