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AFL

Tim Kelly

West Coast Eagles

+0.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -294 (1.34)
+0.1% Edge
Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sun 1 Jun, 9:20AM
Model Probability
74.7%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
17.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tim Kelly (West Coast Eagles) Over 14.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tim Kelly is poised to excel in the upcoming game against Geelong Cats based on his recent performances. With a model prediction of 17.9 disposals and a consistent trend in his last five games, averaging 16 disposals at home, Kelly is likely to surpass the set line of 14.5 disposals. His strong averages in contested possessions (5.6), kicks (8.8), and uncontested possessions (10.8) at home games further support this bet. Despite a low turnover rate (4.2), Kelly's ability to gain meters (294.4) and intercept the play (0.6) completes his well-rounded performance profile. Expect Kelly to continue his form and exceed 14.5 disposals in this match.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 72.0% (36/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
01 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
01 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
01 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
01 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
01 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending

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