Tim Kelly (West Coast Eagles) Under 23.5 Disposals (-109)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tim Kelly, the West Coast Eagles' midfield maestro, heads into this clash against the Geelong Cats with some intriguing stats backing an under play on his disposals line. Despite his recent away form showing an average of 20.8 disposals, facing off against the Cats has historically proven challenging for him, with an average of 22.8 disposals in their previous encounters. Kelly's disposals efficiency of 74.4% on the road might seem promising, but his recent trend of averaging 3 turnovers in away games could spell trouble against the Cats' pressure. With a model predicting him to hit around 20.7 disposals and a solid edge of 19.5%, the Under 23.5 disposals bet on Tim Kelly looks like a smart play for this showdown at Norwood Oval.