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AFL

Tim Kelly

West Coast Eagles

+3.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -323 (1.31)
+3.5% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sat 13 Jun, 6:15AM
Model Probability
79.9%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+3.5%
Predicted Value
23.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tim Kelly (West Coast Eagles) Over 19.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL betting, it's all about finding value, and Tim Kelly is offering just that in the disposals market. Kelly has been a consistent force for the Eagles, averaging 21.6 disposals in his last five away games. Facing North Melbourne, where he's averaged 17.8 disposals in recent matchups, Kelly is poised to exceed the bookmaker's line of 19.5. With his ability to find space, rack up kicks (11.2 average), and maintain solid disposal efficiency (64.2%), backing Kelly to hit the over feels like a smart play. Add in his impressive metres gained (402.8 average) and knack for intercepting (3 average), and we have a compelling case for Kelly to shine on the field and snag us a winning bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals 23.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
01 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
25 May 25 West Coast Eagles @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
18 May 25 St Kilda Saints @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tim Kelly (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Tim Kelly is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 13 June at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.