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The latest Bet Better model pick for Elliot Yeo is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +16.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 8:01AM UTC
AFL

Elliot Yeo

West Coast Eagles

+16.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -118 (1.85)
+16.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 10:10AM
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Model Probability
70.1%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+16.1%
Predicted Value
17.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.1%—54.1%1.43+16.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 14.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Elliot Yeo, the midfield maestro for the West Coast Eagles, is primed to shine in their clash against the Brisbane Lions at Optus Stadium. Over his last five home games, Yeo has been a possession magnet, averaging a hefty 14.4 disposals per game. Facing the Lions in past matchups has also seen him elevate his game, averaging an impressive 24 disposals against them at home. With a model prediction of 17.1 disposals and a solid recent hit rate, Yeo's current form is red hot. His ability to win contested possessions, move the ball efficiently, and cover ground with 292 average meters gained make him a pivotal figure in the Eagles' midfield. All signs point to Yeo surpassing the 14.5 disposal line, making him a strong bet to continue his dominance in this key matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Disposalsvs Brisbane LionsO 14.5 -122+15.2% edge
80%hit L10 O 14.5
12.8avg disposals L5
Home14.4vs Brisbane Lions27Season best29
O 12.580%
O 13.580%
O 14.580%
O 15.530%
O 16.520%
O 17.520%
Game log vs line (O 14.5)9 / 10 hit
23201321242626172821

Elliot Yeo has gone over 14.5 disposals in 8 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 12.8 disposals, best 29). Current line: Over 14.5 at -122, model edge +15.2%.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.2avg goals L5
Home0.4vs Brisbane Lions0.5Season best2
O 0.530%
O 1.510%
O 2.510%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)avg 0.5 · hi 2 · lo 0
1100100200

Elliot Yeo has gone over 0.5 goals in 3 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 0.2 goals, best 2).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 12.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 13.5 Over -278 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -172 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals — — — Pending
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elliot Yeo is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles on Saturday 18 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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