Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Bailey Smith

Geelong Cats

+2.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -500 (1.20)
+2.0% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
85.3%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
29.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) Over 24.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Smith, the midfield maestro for the Geelong Cats, is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against the Adelaide Crows at GMHBA Stadium. Smith's recent form at home has been nothing short of stellar, averaging a whopping 29.8 disposals over his last five games, with a solid disposal efficiency of 65.4%. His ability to find space and generate forward momentum is evident in his 595.4 metres gained per game. Moreover, facing off against the Crows, Smith has historically elevated his game, averaging 31.7 disposals in his last five encounters against them. With a current hit streak of 3 and an impressive overall hit rate of 85%, backing Smith to surpass 24.5 disposals is not just a bet; it's a calculated investment in his on-field prowess and consistency. Expect Smith to rack up the possessions and lead the Cats to victory.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (14 picks) 92.9% (13/14)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals 24.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals 25.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals 22.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 14 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 92.9% (13/14). The latest model pick for Bailey Smith is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.