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AFL

Bailey Smith

Geelong Cats

+5.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -400 (1.25)
+5.3% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Sat 14 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
85.3%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+5.3%
Predicted Value
29.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) Over 24.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Smith, the midfield maestro for the Geelong Cats, is primed to dominate the disposals count against the Fremantle Dockers on home turf. Smith's recent form is nothing short of stellar, averaging a staggering 29.6 disposals over his last five home games. His ability to find space and deliver precise kicks (averaging 19.2 kicks per game) makes him a key playmaker for the Cats. Facing Fremantle, against whom he has averaged 26 disposals in their last five encounters, Smith thrives under pressure, boasting a solid disposalefficiency of 63.8%. With a hit rate of 10 out of 12 in home games, Smith is in the zone. Expect him to eclipse the 24.5 disposals line comfortably and be the linchpin in the Cats' midfield prowess.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 66.0% (33/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 24.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 22.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 23.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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