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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gryan Miers is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 67%, implied 76%, edge +3.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 15, 9:02AM UTC
AFL

Gryan Miers

Geelong Cats

+3.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+3.3% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
4.3 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 79.6% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +3.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks79.6%66.7%76.3%1.50+3.3%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Gryan Miers Over 2.5 Marks (-323)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Gryan Miers to get over 2.5 marks look promising, especially with how he has been playing lately. Fremantle has won seven of their last ten matches and is really good at scoring before half-time, which could mean more opportunities for Miers to get those marks. On the flip side, Geelong Cats have also been strong, averaging a good amount of points before half-time, so it might be a close contest. However, there's a risk because both teams are competitive and Geelong has been leading at quarter-time by about 4 points. While our numbers see Miers as a strong favorite to reach over 2.5 marks, it's important to remember that even small shifts in the game can affect his chances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Gryan Miers averaged 20.2 disposals, 0.8 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

20.2
Disposals
0.8
Goals
4.0
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Gryan Miers recorded 20 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions20245
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide21366
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles22126
17 Aug 24St Kilda14046
10 Aug 24Fremantle23163
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows14023
27 Jul 24North Melbourne21077
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs15031
12 Jul 24Collingwood27174
6 Jul 24Hawthorn15151
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gryan Miers is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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