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AFL

Gryan Miers

Geelong Cats

+5.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -714 (1.14)
+5.4% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
93.1%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+5.4%
Predicted Value
21.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Gryan Miers is a strong pick for the 'Player Disposals Over' bet. His model-predicted 21.9 disposals exceed the line of 14.5, reflecting a 5.4% edge. Miers' recent form at home showcases consistent performance with an average of 24.8 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. Facing Brisbane, he maintains a solid 20.2 disposal average against them at home. With a remarkable hit streak of 10 at home and 17 overall, Miers' reliability and ability to consistently surpass the line make him a favorable choice for this bet. The data suggests a high probability of him achieving over 14.5 disposals in this upcoming match at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 60.0% (30/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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