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AFL

Gryan Miers

Geelong Cats

+19.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 24.5 -128 (1.78)
+19.6% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
75.8%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+19.6%
Predicted Value
21.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Under 24.5 Disposals (-128)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Thursday's clash between the Geelong Cats and the Adelaide Crows, all signs point to Gryan Miers falling under 24.5 disposals. Despite his recent average of 21.8 disposals in home games, Miers has only managed 15.3 disposals against the Crows in their last five encounters. This suggests he may struggle to hit his average against this particular opponent. Additionally, with his average contested possessions sitting at 5.2 in home games, Miers may find it challenging to rack up the possessions in a contested battle. Considering his recent turnover average of 2 in home games, there's a risk of potential dispossession against the Adelaide pressure. The data indicates a probable under outcome for Miers this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals 24.5 Under -128 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 19.5 Over -115 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Gryan Miers is Under 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.