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AFL

Gryan Miers

Geelong Cats

Value call

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: over 1.5 tackles that pays $160 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
2.5 tackles
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.5% · before adjusting for past results 71.3% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap -3.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 8:10 PM AEST
Gryan Miers
over 1.5 tackles
Tackles Over 1.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.00 Odds-167
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gryan Miers is Over 1.5 on Tackles.
On Tackles, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:11PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tackles71.3%59.5%62.5%1.68+8.8%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Gryan Miers Over 1.5 Tackles (-172)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Gryan Miers is set to have a great game, and the odds for him to get over 1.5 tackles look promising. Fremantle has been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, and they've been dominating by an average of nearly 29 points across their last 12 matches. Miers plays well at GMHBA Stadium, showing he can be involved a lot, with an average of 8.8 score involvements per game. However, it's important to note that Geelong Cats have been competitive too, averaging 55.7 points before half-time and often taking an early lead at quarter-time. Miers will face some tough competition, but if he keeps up his usual hustle, he should hit that tackle mark. Remember, this is sports, so there's no guarantee, but the signs are looking good for him today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Gryan Miers averaged 20.2 disposals, 0.8 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

20.2
Disposals
0.8
Goals
4.0
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Gryan Miers recorded 20 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions20245
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide21366
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles22126
17 Aug 24St Kilda14046
10 Aug 24Fremantle23163
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows14023
27 Jul 24North Melbourne21077
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs15031
12 Jul 24Collingwood27174
6 Jul 24Hawthorn15151
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Tackles 1.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 2.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Tackles — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Goals — — — Pending
15 Aug 26 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals — — — Pending
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gryan Miers is Over 1.5 on Tackles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.8% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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