Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Under 29.5 Disposals (-110)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at Max Holmes' recent form at home, it's clear he's been a solid contributor for the Geelong Cats. However, his average of 30.2 disposals over the last 5 home games might be a tad inflated. With the line set at 29.5 disposals against the Western Bulldogs, there's a compelling case to back the under.
In his last 5 outings at GMHBA Stadium, Holmes has only managed 24 disposals against the Bulldogs on average. Additionally, his disposals efficiency sits at 72.1%, indicating he's been efficient but might not hit the high volume needed to surpass the line. Combine this with his recent turnover average of 6.4 and the under begins to look like the smart play. Holmes might still impact the game, but the numbers suggest he could fall just short of the 29.5 mark this time around.