Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Under 27.5 Disposals (-120)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to AFL betting, it's all about finding the edge, and this week, Max Holmes is the player to watch. Despite his recent solid form, averaging 25.8 disposals in his last five away games, the numbers suggest a different story against the Gold Coast Suns. With an average of 23.5 disposals in his last five matchups against them, slightly below his usual output, Holmes might find it tough to hit the line of 27.5 disposals set by the bookies. Factor in his turnover rate of 4.6 and the Suns' ability to disrupt his game, and the under on Holmes' disposals is looking like a smart play. Trust the data, trust the trends, and back Holmes to fall just short of that line.