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AFL

Oisin Mullin

Geelong Cats

+18.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -115 (1.87)
+18.6% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 19 Sep, 9:40AM
Model Probability
72.1%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+18.6%
Predicted Value
12.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Oisin Mullin is poised to exceed the 9.5 disposals line against Hawthorn at MCG. With a model prediction of 12.4 disposals, indicating an 18.6% edge, Mullin's recent form supports this bet. Averaging 9.2 disposals in his last five home games and 15 disposals against this opponent, Mullin consistently meets or surpasses the proposed line. His solid disposalefficiency of 79.8% and significant metresgained of 151.6 further strengthen his potential to exceed expectations. While his turnover rate sits low at 1.2, his knack for contested possessions and intercepts bodes well for this over bet. Mullin's upward trend in overall hit rates, despite his current streak, adds conviction to this wager.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (15 picks) 40.0% (6/15)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -115 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -115 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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