Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oisin Mullin is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 79%, implied 78%, edge +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:38PM UTC
AFL
Oisin Mullin
Geelong Cats
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Over 11.5
-357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+1.1% Edge
Geelong Cats
@
Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 24 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
79 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 79.2% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +1.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 79.2% | — | 78.1% | 1.26 | +1.1% |
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Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 11.5 Disposals (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want a reliable performer who thrives under pressure. Oisin Mullin of the Geelong Cats fits the bill perfectly. With a recent average of 12.6 disposals in away games and facing an opponent he's been averaging 16 disposals against, Mullin is poised to shine. His impressive metrics include a solid 64.7% disposal efficiency and 191.2 metres gained per game on the road. Mullin's consistency is evident with an overall hit rate of 13/16 in his last games, making the Over 11.5 disposals an enticing proposition. Trust in Mullin to rack up the possessions and play a pivotal role in the midfield battle at the MCG against the Melbourne Demons.
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Season averages (2024)
Oisin Mullin averaged 9.7 disposals, 0.0 goals and 1.9 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Oisin Mullin recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 21 Sep 24 | Brisbane Lions | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 Sep 24 | Port Adelaide | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 Aug 24 | St Kilda | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 Aug 24 | Fremantle | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun 24 | Carlton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 Jun 24 | Sydney Swans | 15 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 1 Jun 24 | Richmond | 12 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 25 May 24 | GWS GIANTS | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 May 24 | Gold Coast SUNS | 13 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 May 24 | Port Adelaide | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oisin Mullin is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Melbourne Demons on Friday 24 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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