Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oisin Mullin is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 4:06PM UTC
AFL
Oisin Mullin
Geelong Cats
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Over 11.5
-357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+1.1% Edge
Geelong Cats
@
Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 24 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
78.1%
Predicted Value
15.5 Disposals
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 79.2% | — | 78.1% | 1.26 | +1.1% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 11.5 Disposals (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want a reliable performer who thrives under pressure. Oisin Mullin of the Geelong Cats fits the bill perfectly. With a recent average of 12.6 disposals in away games and facing an opponent he's been averaging 16 disposals against, Mullin is poised to shine. His impressive metrics include a solid 64.7% disposal efficiency and 191.2 metres gained per game on the road. Mullin's consistency is evident with an overall hit rate of 13/16 in his last games, making the Over 11.5 disposals an enticing proposition. Trust in Mullin to rack up the possessions and play a pivotal role in the midfield battle at the MCG against the Melbourne Demons.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formDisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted 9.4avg disposals recent
Season best15
Disposals last 10avg 9.4 · hi 15 · lo 3
Oisin Mullin has a disposals high of 15 in AFL.
Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oisin Mullin is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Melbourne Demons on Friday 24 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.