Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, July 31, 2026

As the Blue Jays host the Cardinals, all eyes will be on Nathan Lukes and how he fares against St. Louis' pitching. While he has shown flashes of potential, recent trends indicate he might struggle to find gaps in the Cardinals' well-structured lineup. The Cardinals employ a solid rotation, with a focus on limiting hard contact—something Lukes has had trouble with against right-handed pitchers like Adam Wainwright, who has a knack for neutralizing left-handed bats. Moreover, Lukes has averaged just over one total base in recent games, reflecting a worrying dip in not just power, but overall consistency. With the Blue Jays battling for playoff positioning, the pressure could further stifle his performance. Given these factors, the under 1.5 total bases for Lukes feels like the sharper play. Expect the Cardinals to keep him in check as they vie for a crucial win on the road.

Ernie Clement (CLE) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-175)

As the Blue Jays prepare to face off against the Cardinals, all eyes will be on Ernie Clement and his quest for total bases. However, the statistics suggest that taking the under on his total bases might be a savvy move. Clement has shown flashes of potential this season, but his recent form has been a bit erratic, particularly against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ starting pitcher has been effective, holding opponents to a lower batting average, which could stifle Clement's opportunities. Moreover, the Blue Jays' historically powerful lineup has been a bit inconsistent lately, struggling to string together hits against quality pitching. With the odds reflecting a 63.7% chance of hitting the under, it’s clear that the trends are not favoring Clement to surpass 1.5 total bases tonight. Given the matchup dynamics and Clement’s recent struggles, backing the under could very well be the smart play here.

Alec Burleson (STL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179)

As the Toronto Blue Jays host the St. Louis Cardinals, all eyes will be on Alec Burleson, but betting the under on his total bases feels like a savvy play. Burleson has been a promising rookie, yet he’s struggled lately, hitting just.227 over his last 15 games. Facing a formidable Blue Jays pitching staff, which boasts a solid 3.65 ERA at home, he may find it tough to make consistent contact. Additionally, the Blue Jays have been especially tough against left-handed hitters, which doesn’t bode well for Burleson, who has had his share of ups and downs against southpaws. Given the matchup and his recent form, expecting him to surpass 1.5 total bases seems optimistic. With the odds reflecting a 64.1% probability of him staying under, this bet aligns well with the current trends. Keep an eye on the game, but don’t expect Burleson to clear that mark tonight.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.