Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Picks, July 31, 2026

As the Blue Jays prepare to face off against the Cardinals, all eyes will be on Ernie Clement and his quest for total bases. However, the statistics suggest that taking the under on his total bases might be a savvy move. Clement has shown flashes of potential this season, but his recent form has been a bit erratic, particularly against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ starting pitcher has been effective, holding opponents to a lower batting average, which could stifle Clement's opportunities. Moreover, the Blue Jays' historically powerful lineup has been a bit inconsistent lately, struggling to string together hits against quality pitching. With the odds reflecting a 63.7% chance of hitting the under, it’s clear that the trends are not favoring Clement to surpass 1.5 total bases tonight. Given the matchup dynamics and Clement’s recent struggles, backing the under could very well be the smart play here.

Alec Burleson (STL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179)

As the Toronto Blue Jays host the St. Louis Cardinals, all eyes will be on Alec Burleson, but betting the under on his total bases feels like a savvy play. Burleson has been a promising rookie, yet he’s struggled lately, hitting just.227 over his last 15 games. Facing a formidable Blue Jays pitching staff, which boasts a solid 3.65 ERA at home, he may find it tough to make consistent contact. Additionally, the Blue Jays have been especially tough against left-handed hitters, which doesn’t bode well for Burleson, who has had his share of ups and downs against southpaws. Given the matchup and his recent form, expecting him to surpass 1.5 total bases seems optimistic. With the odds reflecting a 64.1% probability of him staying under, this bet aligns well with the current trends. Keep an eye on the game, but don’t expect Burleson to clear that mark tonight.

Alejandro Kirk (TOR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-200)

As the Toronto Blue Jays host the St. Louis Cardinals on July 31, 2026, Alejandro Kirk's performance holds the spotlight for bettors looking at total bases. While Kirk has shown flashes of brilliance, he’s recently faced a challenging stretch at the plate, particularly against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ starter, with a solid ERA and a knack for inducing weak contact, could stymie Kirk's ability to drive the ball. Moreover, the Blue Jays' lineup has been somewhat inconsistent lately, struggling to generate runs in key moments. With Kirk's recent numbers trending downward, the odds of him reaching even 2 total bases seem slim. Given the model’s prediction sitting at 1.16, taking the under on 1.5 total bases feels like a wise play. The combination of tough opposing pitching and Kirk's recent struggles makes this matchup lean heavily toward the under for his total bases.

Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 8.5 Total Runs (+112)

As the Toronto Blue Jays prepare to host the St. Louis Cardinals, all signs point toward a high-scoring affair. The Blue Jays have been swinging hot bats, consistently finding gaps in opposing pitching, evidenced by their average of over five runs per game in July. Meanwhile, the Cardinals’ lineup is no pushover either, boasting plenty of firepower that can capitalize on any mistakes. On the mound, neither team has displayed the kind of shutdown pitching that tends to keep totals low. The Blue Jays’ starter has struggled with consistency, often allowing early runs, while the Cardinals’ rotation has been known to give up big innings. With both offenses clicking and a line set at 8.5, the over seems like a compelling play. Given the recent trends and the potential for fireworks, expect a lively night at the plate, pushing the total well past that number.

Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-128)

As the Toronto Blue Jays host the St. Louis Cardinals, expect fireworks at the plate. Both teams have been swinging hot bats lately, with the Blue Jays boasting a lineup that has averaged over five runs per game in their last few outings. They've found their rhythm, particularly against right-handed pitchers, and today they face a Cardinals rotation that has struggled to keep opponents at bay, allowing more than four runs per game on the road. St. Louis, meanwhile, isn’t shy about scoring either, consistently putting runs on the board, especially in hitter-friendly environments like Rogers Centre. With the power of sluggers like Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado, they can easily turn a game into a slugfest. Given the projected total of 9.28 runs and both teams' recent offensive forms, betting on the Over 7.5 feels like a smart play. The stage is set for a high-scoring affair—don’t miss out!

Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals h2h 1st 5 innings (+162)

As the Blue Jays prepare to host the Cardinals this Friday, there's a compelling narrative that favors the visitors. St. Louis has been on a roll, showcasing a potent offense that has averaged over five runs per game in their last ten outings. Meanwhile, Toronto’s pitching staff has struggled, particularly against left-handed hitters, allowing a concerning.280 batting average against them. With the Cardinals' lineup featuring seasoned bats like Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado, they could exploit that weakness effectively. Additionally, St. Louis has displayed resilience on the road, winning crucial matchups against tough opponents. As the Blue Jays grapple with their inconsistencies, especially in high-pressure situations, the Cardinals appear to have the edge. With a strong recent trend and a favorable matchup, backing St. Louis on the moneyline looks like a savvy move for Friday’s showdown.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.