Of our last 642 graded player prop tips, 52% got a better price than where the market closed.
NFL Player Props · Updated daily in season
NFL Player Props Today — Free Prop Bets for Every Game
NFL player props today: every prop bet on the board, priced and ranked best first. Top prop free.
The NFL prop lines are on the board
Books have priced 446 players across 9 prop markets for the 13 games ahead. These are the most widely priced lines right now — our model's ranked picks land here the day it has enough to say.
| Player | Market | Line | Best price | Books |
|---|
| Dohnte Meyers | Receptions | 1.5 | +230 | 17 |
| Kenneth Walker III | Receptions | 2.5 | +140 | 17 |
| Keon Coleman | Receptions | 2.5 | +139 | 17 |
| Darnell Washington | Receptions | 2.5 | +135 | 17 |
| Rachaad White | Receptions | 2.5 | +128 | 17 |
| Jameson Williams | Receptions | 3.5 | +110 | 17 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Receptions | 7.5 | +107 | 17 |
| Chris Godwin | Receptions | 4.5 | +105 | 17 |
| CeeDee Lamb | Receptions | 6.5 | -104 | 17 |
| Treylon Burks | Receptions | 1.5 | +340 | 16 |
| Jauan Jennings | Receptions | 1.5 | +270 | 16 |
| Justice Hill | Receptions | 1.5 | +225 | 16 |
| Javonte Williams | Receptions | 1.5 | +175 | 16 |
| Blake Corum | Receptions | 1.5 | +167 | 16 |
| Oronde Gadsden II | Receptions | 1.5 | +160 | 16 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Receptions | 3.5 | +150 | 16 |
| Jerry Jeudy | Receptions | 2.5 | +150 | 16 |
| Caleb Douglas | Receptions | 2.5 | +145 | 16 |
Compare every book’s price on the live NFL odds board, screen hot streaks in the prop screener, or start with our free NFL pick.
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Quick answer
What is an NFL player prop bet?
An NFL player prop bet is a wager on a single player statistic, such as passing yards, receptions, or touchdowns.
It is settled independently of the game winner, which makes props useful when you want to target a specific role,
matchup, or usage trend rather than the final score.
Probability vs odds
Edge calculation
Bankroll discipline
| Market |
What it measures |
Typical intent |
| Passing yards | QB volume and efficiency | Matchup driven |
| Receptions | Target share and route role | Usage driven |
| Rushing yards | Carry volume and game script | Game flow driven |
| Anytime TD | Scoring opportunity | Red zone driven |
Why our props have an edge
20
ML Models
Our edge is built in house. Each model is trained and evaluated per league.
10k+
Simulations
Games are simulated at scale to estimate distributions and probabilities.
AI
Reasoning
Every pick pairs the model's chance and value call with plain-English AI analysis.
How we decide which NFL props are worth a look
Every price a sportsbook posts is really a guess about how often something happens. Our model makes its own guess from the player's recent games, his role, the defence he faces and the weather, then compares the two. When the model thinks something happens more often than the price says, that prop makes the board. The board shows every line, the best price across the books, and how often the player has cleared it lately, for free. Which side the model backs, and why, is for Pro members.
If you want the deeper framework, see our actuarial sports betting methodology.
Example in plain English
Say a receiver's line is 59.5 yards at a price that means "about a coin flip". If our model makes it closer to 6 chances in 10, that is a gap worth knowing about. A gap is not a guarantee. It is the thing we grade in public, week after week, so you can see whether the gaps were real.
Related NFL pages
Continue exploring:
NFL Picks,
NFL Picks,
NFL Parlays,
NFL Odds.
Click any team name on a prop card to view that team's full profile, upcoming pick, and player directory.
Click any player name to view their individual pick history, value calls, and AI analysis.
Transparency and responsible betting
Betting involves risk. Model outputs are informational and are not a guarantee of profit. Use consistent staking, avoid chasing losses, and only bet what you can afford to lose.
NFL prop guide
What NFL players
really average
An NFL player prop is a bet on what one player does in a game, like his passing yards or catches. Today's props are at the top of this page. Below is what players did across all 272 games of the 2025 regular season, so you can tell if a line looks high or low.
Per game2025 regular season
| Prop | Who we counted | Average |
|---|
| Passing yards | QBs with 15+ passes | 221.8 |
| Passing touchdowns | QBs with 15+ passes | 1.5 |
| Pass completions | QBs with 15+ passes | 20.3 |
| Pass attempts | QBs with 15+ passes | 31.5 |
| Rushing yards | Running backs with 10+ carries | 68.8 |
| Rushing attempts | Running backs with 10+ carries | 15.5 |
| Receptions | Wide receivers with 4+ targets | 4.3 |
| Receiving yards | Wide receivers with 4+ targets | 54.7 |
| Receptions | Tight ends with 4+ targets | 4.4 |
| Receiving yards | Tight ends with 4+ targets | 45.8 |
We counted only players who got real work that game, so backups do not drag the numbers down. A running back, receiver or tight end with 5 or more carries and targets scored a touchdown in about 1 game in 3 (771 of 2,234). Books also post interceptions, last touchdown scorer, and combos like rushing plus receiving yards.
How to read a prop
- 1Find the numberOver 249.5 passing yards wins at 250 or more. Under wins at 249 or less.
- 2Check the playerLeague averages are a start. Quarterbacks averaged 222 yards, yet 194 of 537 hit 250. See his own numbers on NFL stats.
- 3Check the gameLook at the defense he faces, injuries and the weather.
Prop questions
How many passing yards does an NFL quarterback average?
About 222 a game. That is every quarterback who threw 15 or more passes in a game in the 2025 regular season.
How often does an NFL player score a touchdown?
A running back, receiver or tight end with 5 or more carries and targets scored in about 1 game in 3 in 2025. Top scorers do it more often and role players less.
What does an alternate line mean?
It is the same stat with a different number and a different price. An easier number pays less. A harder number pays more.
What happens to a prop if the player does not play?
Most books cancel the bet and give your stake back. Rules differ from book to book, so check yours before you bet.
Check before you bet
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