Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Saturday 02/28 (John Konchar Highlights): Best Value Bets

An intriguing play to consider on Sunday's clash between the Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers is Marcus Smart's over 8.5 points + assists. Smart, a dynamic player, has been on a tear lately, averaging 10.2 points and 3.6 assists overall in the last five games, and even better on the road with 11.4 points and 4 assists. Against the Warriors, he's been particularly potent, racking up an average of 13.3 points and 5 assists. That's much more than we need to hit our target. His recent form is just as impressive, hitting this mark in 9 of his last 11 games overall, and in 6 of his last 7 road trips. The data is painting a clear picture here: Marcus Smart over 8.5 points + assists is a bet worth considering.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 1.5 Blocks (-270)

Let's take a close look at Moussa Diabate of the Charlotte Hornets as they prepare to host Portland this Saturday. Now, Diabate has been showing a certain consistency, but not in the way you might think. He's been consistently staying under the 1.5 blocks mark, showing a pattern that's hard to ignore. While playing at home, Diabate's block average hovers around 0.6, and even when facing off against the Trail Blazers, that number hasn't budged. Interestingly, Diabate's block stats dip a bit further to 0.3 when he's tackling Portland on his home turf. The icing on the cake? His last four games have all hit the under, with the last three home games following suit. For those counting on Diabate to rise above his stats, they might need to reconsider. The numbers don't lie, and they're pointing to an under 1.5 blocks for Diabate this weekend

John Konchar (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 2.5 Assists (-172)

Gather 'round, folks, we've got a solid play on John Konchar coming your way. The Utah Jazz guard is stepping on the court against the New Orleans Pelicans this weekend, and the under 2.5 assists line from DraftKings is looking every bit as enticing as a wide-open three. Konchar's been consistently coming up short in the assist column, averaging just 1.2 dimes over his last five outings. Even when you factor in home court advantage, his numbers hardly shift, dropping to 0.8. His performance specifically against the Pelicans? Same story, same ending, with an average of just a single assist. Let's not ignore the glaring 20-for-20 hit rate on this under in his last 20 games, and a perfect 16 when playing at home. Konchar might be solid, but his assists? They're consistently coming up short, making this under 2.5 a bet worth backing.

Pat Spencer (Golden State Warriors) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-270)

Look, folks, it's no secret that Pat Spencer's been having a rough patch from beyond the arc this season. When the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, he's been consistently underperforming on the 3-point line. Tonight, they're facing the Los Angeles Lakers, and we're putting our chips on Spencer to make fewer than 1.5 threes.Why? Let's talk turkey. When we look at Spencer's track record at home, we've seen him hit under 1.5 threes in 20 of his last 20 games. That's right, this isn't a fluke, it's a trend. And let's not forget the fact that he's been under 1.5 in his last eight outings overall. The numbers don't lie, and right now, they're pointing to a less-than-stellar performance from Spencer on the threes. Not the greatest news for the Warriors, but it could be a winning bet for

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 1.5 Steals (-244)

As we look ahead to Saturday's NBA contest between the Charlotte Hornets and the Portland Trail Blazers, Moussa Diabate's under 1.5 steals proposition on DraftKings stands out. Diabate's been in a bit of a swiping slump, averaging just 0.6 steals over his last five games, both overall and at home. Even when considering his track record against the Blazers, he's only managed to scrape together an average of 1.4 steals, and that dips a bit to 1.3 when they've come to visit. His propensity to stay under the 1.5 steals mark is far from a rare occurrence, with 7 out of his last 8 games both overall and at home reflecting this trend. So, for those wagering on Diabate, the under 1.5 steals seems to be the smart bet for this matchup.